Diamondbacks @ Cubs

The projections below are from the 2011 ZiPS spreadsheet. I’m using last year’s bullpen numbers.

Diamondbacks wOBA wRC Cubs wOBA wRC
Willie Bloomquist .296 .409 Kosuke Fukudome .343 .602
Dan Johnson .349 .612 Starlin Castro .332 .545
Justin Upton .381 .731 Marlon Byrd .338 .564
Miguel Montero .339 .553 Aramis Ramirez .350 .594
Chris Young .339 .536 Tyler Colvin .318 .457
Juan Miranda .333 .499 Alfonso Soriano .339 .521
Ryan Roberts .316 .426 Darwin Barney .293 .346
Gerardo Parra .327 .457 Koyie Hill .273 .268
Barry Enright .175 .000 Andrew Cashner .175 .000
4.2 3.9

To say the Cubs offense isn’t very good today is an understatement. Now watch them score 9 runs.

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Barry Enright 5.71 5.05
Andrew Cashner 4.79 4.63
Bullpens xFIP
Diamondbacks 5.74
Cubs 4.72

This all comes out to 5.4 runs scored for each team and since the Cubs are at home, their win probability today is just under 54%.


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