Dalier Hinojosa Stats, and a Comparison with Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez

TAICHUNG-JUEGO PERFECTO DE HINOJOSA ANTE HONG KONGUpdates: If interested in more defector profiles and comparisons, here are Miguel Alfredo GonzalezOdrisamer DespaigneAledmis Diaz, Dariel Alvarez, Alexander Guerrero, and Misael Siverio.

Last week, I profiled Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, a Cuban defector drawing lots of attention on the free agent market. Gonzalez is still seeking approval from the US Treasury, but could sign with the Dodgers an MLB team soon. Dalier Hinojosa is also a right-hander looking for work. He defected a month after Gonzalez, but has received a fraction of the hype. Hinojosa has been connected to the Cubs, and I would guess that he has a decent shot of signing with the team. Hinojosa is 27, and is thus not subject to MLB’s international free agent budget restrictions.

Scouting Profile

Hinojosa is 6’2″, 210 pounds. At 27, he’s a year older than Gonzalez (allegedly), and actually has a relatively high profile on the interational scene. Twice he thrown perfect games in international competition, though both were less than nine innings. The first was a seven-inning affair against Sri-Lanka in the 2010 World University Chamionships, in which Dailer struck out 16 of the 21 batters he faced. The second was against Hong Kong in the 2010 Intercontinental Cup, and lasted only five innings. Both games seem to have been ended via the mercy rule, a decent reminder that no matter how bad Gerardo Concepcion is, Cuba still plays at a really high level compared to the rest of the world. Hinojosa allegedly throws a fastball in the low-to-mid 90s along with a slider, curve, and change.

Dalier Hinojosa Stats

Team Age G GS IP W L AB TBF H R ER ERA K BB BBI 2B 3B HR
2006 Gtmo 20 18 10 63.3 2 6 84 44 6.26 23 32 10
2007 Gtmo 21 18 17 87.7 4 7 98 47 4.82 49 43 10
2008 Gtmo 22 12 11 43.3 1 2 53 31 6.44 30 22 5
2009 Gtmo 23 15 14 87.3 7 4 87 35 3.61 48 34 7
2010 Gtmo 24 18 18 126.0 9 6 475 544 123 65 57 4.07 99 42 9 21 2 13
2010* Gtmo 24 2 2 13.3 0 1 51 54 12 4 4 2.70 7 2 0 1 0 2
2011 Gtmo 25 17 16 108.7 8 4 412 456 115 46 43 3.56 87 25 5 21 1 14
2011* Gtmo 25 4 3 18.7 1 2 80 91 25 14 12 5.78 20 8 0 3 1 4
2012 Gtmo 26 19 18 121.7 9 7 454 506 118 50 46 3.40 115 35 1 21 1 11
2013 Gtmo 27 2 2 8.3 1 1 28 38 5 5 5 5.40 11 8 1 1 0 1
Totals 678.3 42 40 720 324 4.30 489 251 77

 

Age IP K/9 BB/9 H/9 HR/9 K% BB% dt K/9 dt BB/9 dt H/9 dt HR/9 dt NERA
2006 20 63.3 3.3 4.5 11.9 1.4 2.9 4.8 10.2 1.6 7.10
2007 21 87.7 5.0 4.4 10.1 1.0 5.1 4.6 8.5 1.3 6.00
2008 22 43.3 6.2 4.6 11.0 1.0 5.9 4.7 10.2 1.2 6.24
2009 23 87.3 4.9 3.5 9.0 0.7 4.6 3.7 7.9 0.7 3.34
2010 24 126.0 7.1 3.0 8.8 0.9 18.2 7.7 7.0 3.5 8.2 0.9 4.23
2010* 24 13.3 4.7 1.4 8.1 1.4 13.0 3.7
2011 25 108.7 7.2 2.1 9.5 1.2 19.1 5.5 8.2 2.7 9.2 1.2 3.09
2011* 25 18.7 9.6 3.9 12.1 1.9 22.0 8.8
2012 26 121.7 8.5 2.6 8.7 0.8 22.7 6.9
2013 27 8.3 11.9 8.6 5.4 1.1 28.9 21.1
Totals 678.3 6.5 3.3 9.6 1.0
*Playoffs
Sources: besibolencuba.com, claydavenport.com

As before, the “dt” prefix indicates a Davenport Translation. Unlike Gonzalez, Hinojosa has put up a pretty respectable strikeout rate, especially relative to his K-challenged league. Here’s a more refined breakdown of the two:

G GS IP TBF K/9 BB/9 H/9 HR/9 K% BB% ERA WHIP
Mig Alf G 40 38 245 1021 6.2 2.3 8.8 0.6 16.5 6.2 3.49 1.23
Hinojosa 62 59 396.7 1689 7.7 2.7 9.0 1.0 20.1 7.1 3.79 1.31

These numbers are totals for 2010-2013, la Serie Nacional only. Hinojosa has a significantly larger sample, as Gonzalez was suspended for much of the 2012 season. More or less this data encompasses Gonzalez’s full season numbers for his age 23 and 24 year old seasons, and Hinojosa’s for ages 24-26. Dalier has the significant edge in strikeout rate, though gives back a bit in control. Where Dalier really suffers, though, is in his homerun rate; he really seems to have a dinger problem. Ordinarily I might take a wild stab at attributing this to the size of his home park, but we all know Guantanamo, his home team, plays in a massive, nearly-impenetrable facility.

Visual Evidence of Said Dinger Problem

Here is a video of a very Bo Jackson-esque Alfredo Despaigne taking Dalier yard twice.

Keep the ball down, big fella.

Prediction

As mentioned, I wouldn’t be surprised if he signs with the Cubs, especially if his price tag is significantly lower than the one attached to Gonzalez via rumor. Next up is Odrisamer Despaigne, who walked away from the team in a French airport last week. Cuban security is not what it used to be.

 

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