2015 Steamer Projections

The postseason is barely underway, but the projections will start rolling out. The Steamer projections came out yesterday or the day before. 2015 Chicago Cubs Steamer Projections Name IP H ER HR SO BB WHIP K/9 BB/9 ERA FIP Pedro Strop 65 54 22 4 71 24 1.2 9.77 3.37 3.06 3.01 Hector Rondon 65 […]

Coming up with the current 2015 payroll/roster

There was a little confusion about my $65 million number in my last article. The Cubs have a $65 million payroll next year, but it doesn’t (at first glance) appear that way. I assure you it is. Major League Contracts Starlin Castro: $6M Anthony Rizzo: $5M Edwin Jackson: $11M Ryan Sweeney: $1.5M Kyuji Fujikawa: $500K […]

Cubs and Effective Walk Rate

Theo Epstein held a presser to debrief on the 2014 season. I look forward to those happening in October or November, but that should come relatively soon. The tone of the conference was near-universally positive, and that makes sense. There are a lot of things to be optimistic about, chief among them our cheap, dynamic […]

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Wild Card recap/preview

*I meant to publish this yesterday, but got caught up in work before I could finish it.  What a game last night. I’ve been on the record that I’m a fan of the current wild card format. In a perfect world I’d rather have it just be the two best teams in each league playing in […]

Plus/Minus and Baez’s strikeout problem

You all remember Phil Rogers and his beautiful plus/minus system he developed? Well, it’s time to to put it to use. The other day I was reading the news and I read that the US had announced a successful airstrike against IS in which 15 militants, 4 tanks and 4 civilians were killed. That sounds […]

Cubs’ 2014 trades in retrospect

The Cubs were fairly active at the trading deadline this year. How did they do? All numbers are post-trade. July 5 Cubs trade Jeff Samardzija (5-5, 2.92 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 16 GS) Jason Hammel (2-6, 4.52 ERA, 5.44 FIP, 11 GS) for Addison Russell (.295/.333/.539, .390 wOBA, 204 PA) (AA) Billy McKinney (.301/.390/.432, .379 wOBA, […]

A Journey Through Rookie Breakouts

Jorge Soler has been an absolute Bad Dude during his first go-round in the majors. His 176 OPS+ is 8th among post-Integration rookies with 80 or more PA. Let’s look at the 10 best seasons to see what company Soler is in. 1. Willie McCovey – .354/.429/.656, 219 PA Willie McCovey is a HOF, who […]

Will the Cubs divest themselves of Edwin Jackson?

One thing the Cubs have a preponderance of is #5-#6-#7-type starters. From Dallas Beeler to Eric Jokisch to Chris Rusin to Travis Wood to Felix Doubront to Justin Turner to Dan Straily the really deep cuts (Yoanner Negrin or Carlos Pimentel, anyone? Dae-Eun Rhee?), the Cubs have plenty of options to plug into the back […]

What qualifies as an offseason success?

Now that 2014 is coming to a close (for the Cubs, it came to a close roughly May 15, but bear with me), we turn to the Hot Stove League. One bonus of the Cubs’ situation right now is that there are very clear places to upgrade, and very clear places the Cubs do not […]

Not Bad…For a Rookie

With the 11-1 ass-whipping the Cubs received yesterday, the Cubs fell to 64-82 and guaranteed themselves a losing record. It’s been a rough week, and after a really nice run of baseball, we’ve been thoroughly outclassed by some not-very-good teams (though they aren’t slouches, either). As the 2014 season draws to it’s merciful close, I’d […]

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Series Preview: Chicago Cubs (64-82) at Pittsburgh Pirates (77-69)

The Pirates are only 2.5 back from the Cardinals going into this series, and I wouldn’t mind seeing that lead shrink even further with the Cubs help. It could be a tall order even with the Cubs help though, as the Cardinals are playing a team even worse than the Rizzo/Castro-less Cubs as they host […]

Your Football Organization Sucks

Baseball is not perfect. From the crooked Black Sox, to Cap Anson’s refusal to play with black players, to Ty Cobb maybe being a murderer, to the drunk drivers, to the widespread steroid use, it has a fairly checkered past. It treats its future employees like garbage (it uses its incredible leverage and willing replacements to […]

Chicago Cubs (64-76) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (71-68)

While the Cubs have done their best to help Pittsburgh out in their quest to reach the playoffs for the second year in a row, the Pirates haven’t done much to help themselves lately. The Cubs swept the previously first place Brewers, but at the same time, the Pirates got swept by the Cardinals. So […]

Cubs Playoff Windows in 2014

If you follow any Cubs blogger on twitter, you’re almost certain to have come across the following stat in the past 7 weeks: “Ever since <date>, the Cubs have been <record that is close to .500>!” That’s cool, but I want to take it one step further. I want to find the dates that satisfy […]

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