Below are the pitching projections for SG’s CAIRO. ZiPS is already out so I’ll post the batter projections later today.
Garza is undoubtedly the best starting pitcher the Cubs have. Those aren’t great numbers, but they’re very good. CAIRO expects a rebound season from Dempster for good reason. McNutt is as good or better than Randy Wells. That’s surprising.
Sean Marshall has shown himself to be the better reliever than Carlos Marmol over the last two to three seasons. CAIRO expects that trend to continue and he expect him to be significantly better than Marmol. League average ERA in the bullpen is about 4.05 so Cashner is a bit above average and Samardzija, Maine, are a bit better than replacement.
Needless to say, the Cubs need some pitching. They were 25th in ERA a year ago and 22nd in FIP. The starters were 28th in ERA and 22nd in FIP. The relievers were a lot better as they were 9th in ERA and 14th in FIP.