2012 Cubs Oliver Projections, Part 1

The Hardball Times has released their Oliver projections for the 2012 season. Berselius will once again be writing the player comments. Like the other projections, I’ll break them into multiple parts and then as we move closer to the season add a third part for each one. It’s kind of useless to calculate the team WAR at this point considering there are still so many holes and entire offseason ahead of us. The 2012 Oliver projections for the Cubs hitters are below:

Name PA H 2B 3B HR K BB BA OBP SLG wOBA WAR
Geovany Soto 623 125 29 0 21 143 72 .232 .325 .406 .323 2.4
Starlin Castro 623 175 33 8 6 79 32 .303 .338 .422 .332 2.4
Marlon Byrd 623 156 33 2 12 98 31 .272 .321 .406 .319 1
Bryan LaHair 623 148 32 1 30 153 57 .266 .334 .488 .352 0.8
Brett Jackson 277 59 10 3 7 82 27 .244 .321 .412 .321 0.5
Welington Castillo 69 14 2 0 2 17 4 .232 .281 .409 .297 0.1
Alfonso Soriano 554 119 29 2 21 125 36 .233 .286 .425 .306 0
Tony Campana 138 33 4 0 0 26 7 .263 .299 .317 .275 0
Darwin Barney 658 161 26 4 2 83 29 .265 .298 .336 .281 0
Jeff Baker 623 146 31 3 9 133 38 .256 .304 .375 .299 0
Tyler Colvin 311 64 12 4 10 78 17 .224 .265 .399 .284 0
DJ LeMahieu 242 61 9 1 1 36 11 .275 .305 .352 .290 0
Ryan Flaherty 34 7 1 0 0 7 2 .239 .292 .391 .297 0

Let’s put it as nicely as we can: the Cubs do not have a very good offense. The most productive player is projected to hit .323 (wOBA), but because he plays catcher that’s still pretty good. The best hitter is, not surprisingly, Bryan LaHair, but since he plays 1st base he’s not very valuable. A .306 wOBA for Alfonso Soriano? Ouch. Only Soto, Castro, LaHair, Jackson, Soriano and Montanez are projected to have a wOBA .300 or higher.


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