2012 Cubs Oliver Projections, Part 2

We took a look at the Oliver projections for the Cubs hitters yesterday and realized how bad the offense currently is. The pitching projections are below:

Name IP H HR K BB ERA FIP WAR
Matt Garza 205 191 21 180 66 3.69 3.74 4
Ryan Dempster 205 207 23 183 78 4.36 4.01 2.4
Carlos Zambrano 200 198 19 157 88 4.34 4.19 2.4
Randy Wells 175 185 21 114 54 4.25 4.38 2.3
Sean Marshall 70 61 4 68 20 3.15 2.86 1.8
Carlos Marmol 70 50 3 90 43 3.63 3.03 1.4
Jeff Samardzija 65 61 7 52 35 4.51 4.62 0.6
James Russell 65 72 12 44 17 4.79 5.03 0.4
Marcos Mateo 10 10 1 8 4 4.78 4.10 0.1
Casey Coleman 15 15 1 9 6 4.70 4.07 0.1
Andrew Cashner 5 4 0 3 2 3.92 3.20 0.1
Chris Carpenter 30 31 3 21 15 5.09 4.60 0.1
Trey McNutt 30 33 3 20 13 5.03 4.47 0.1

The FIP column has grey text because I calculated the FIP based on the stats necessary to calculate it. The Cubs have four above average starting pitchers according to Oliver. Makes you wonder why Theo and Jed Hoyer are insistent the team is such need of pitching. If they traded Carlos Zambrano they’d be in need and I still think that’s much more likely than not, but the Oliver projections thinks the Cubs are a far better at pitching. That doesn’t mean they’re very good. They aren’t necessarily bad, but they’re not good either.

Oliver only projects 5 innings for Cashner, but that has more to do with his injury last year than anything else. I have no idea why it’s projecting 200 innings for Zambrano. It’s been a few years since he threw that many innings.


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