2013 Cubs Projections: CAIRO

SG has finished his first batch of his CAIRO projections. He includes just about everyone so I've reduced it to the players I think we might see this coming season. I'll update this post as updates are made. He usually releases several versions so consider this the early version.

Name PA 2B 3B HR BB SO avg obp slg wOBA
Bryan LaHair 521 29 1 25 51 131 .274 .349 .499 .366
Anthony Rizzo 576 35 1 24 51 128 .261 .334 .469 .348
Brett Jackson 455 20 5 12 49 138 .243 .332 .411 .329
David DeJesus 537 25 5 10 51 85 .262 .340 .401 .329
Starlin Castro 633 31 7 11 35 86 .288 .329 .421 .328
Welington Castillo 364 17 0 14 29 88 .249 .316 .430 .326
Dave Sappelt 576 28 5 9 42 88 .273 .332 .398 .324
Alfonso Soriano 496 26 1 20 33 117 .247 .300 .441 .319
Luis Valbuena 467 24 1 10 46 97 .245 .324 .381 .314
Steve Clevenger 385 21 2 5 30 57 .260 .323 .376 .312
Josh Vitters 461 24 1 13 23 79 .253 .299 .402 .307
Ian Stewart 339 13 2 11 34 87 .216 .302 .384 .304
Ty Wright 375 19 1 6 23 64 .257 .309 .371 .302
Matthew Szczur 382 17 3 5 26 62 .243 .302 .349 .292
Logan Watkins 529 16 6 5 47 119 .234 .310 .326 .290
Darwin Barney 524 23 3 4 28 64 .259 .303 .346 .289
Jae-Hoon Ha 475 23 2 7 22 85 .247 .289 .354 .284
Tony Campana 400 11 2 2 26 81 .259 .309 .317 .284
Junior Lake 480 19 3 9 23 135 .229 .273 .342 .272

 

LaHair's minor league dominance is still weighting heavily in this projection. I think he's probably closer to a .330 wOBA guy, but that's just me. He won't be a starter. It's no surprise once again that of the everyday players, Rizzo is projected to be the best hitter. It is a little disappointing that the Cubs best hitter isn't projected to be a .350 wOBA or higher hitter. For years the Cubs had Aramis Ramirez and Derrek Lee and we could always pencil them in for about .375 or so. Before them the Cubs had Sammy Sosa and we could expect anything from .360 to infinity. These are those Cubs. Brett Jackson is projected to be the 2nd best everyday hitter and it's likely he starts the season in AAA.

Due to Samardzija's history as a reliever, he's still projected for some relief appearances. Overall he's projected to start 16 games and appear in 48 overall. Obviously we know he'll more than likely be a starter all season, but I wanted to point this out since relieving is easier than starting (his projection will be a little higher overall than it would as a starter exclusively).

Name IP H HR BB SO HBP ERA FIP
Carlos Marmol 67 46 4 47 94 5 3.40 3.35
Jeff Samardzija 135 115 14 56 139 5 3.82 3.69
Matt Garza 150 132 18 49 143 5 3.71 3.69
Arodys Vizcaino 106 116 10 40 91 5 4.07 3.84
James Russell 71 71 9 22 58 2 3.94 4.03
Jaye Chapman 72 69 6 47 74 3 4.22 4.06
Chris Rusin 154 178 19 53 104 8 4.62 4.41
Michael Bowden 90 82 11 41 74 3 4.20 4.41
Jeff Belliveau 71 74 10 39 77 4 4.28 4.49
Lendy Castillo 36 44 3 22 29 3 4.78 4.57
Casey Coleman 122 130 15 53 84 4 4.79 4.61
Esmailin Caridad 66 71 9 34 56 3 4.89 4.70
Alberto Cabrera 114 145 13 71 93 6 5.36 4.93
Brooks Raley 142 190 19 63 89 7 5.07 4.94
Rafael Dolis 84 94 7 57 56 4 4.97 4.96
Trey McNutt 110 144 13 66 77 6 5.21 5.12
Jacob Brigham 127 168 23 81 96 6 6.18 5.89

 

The Cubs aren't very good at pitching, but we already knew that.

Quantcast