CAIRO’s Extremely Early Projected Standings

SG published the first projected standings for his CAIRO projections (version .3) yesterday. They make a lot more sense to me than the early Oliver projections.

TM W L RS RA Div WC PL
Brewers 92 70 700 646 52.5% 14.3% 66.7%
Cardinals 90 72 708 648 36.8% 19.3% 56.2%
Reds 84 78 724 704 10.1% 10.8% 20.9%
Cubs 74 88 649 727 0.3% 1.1% 1.4%
Pirates 70 92 656 758 0.4% - 0.4%
Astros 60 102 569 759 0.0% - -

The Oliver projected standings gave us a slim chance to contend, but this paints a very different picture.

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The Cubs are interested in Coco Crisp according to MLBTR. He’s been worth 5 rWAR and 5.5 fWAR over the last two years. The Cubs reportedly want him to play left field. The Cubs already have Soriano, but the Cubs are interested in moving him, but whether or not anybody is interested in taking him is another issue altogether. Bill James projects a .330 wOBA from him in 2012. Crisp made just under $6 million last year and would probably make about the same in 2012. If he stays healthy he would more than likely be worth it.

The bidding for Yu Darvish ended at 4 pm today. The Cubs apparently did bid, but they aren’t believed to be the highest bid. No surprises there.


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