Cubs Den has a post up drawing attention to a Baseball America article on changes in the Cubs’ organizational philosophy related to developing pitching talent. The BA piece focuses on new pitching coordinator Derek Johnson, formerly the pitching coach at Vanderbilt, which famously produced David Price, Mike Minor, Sonny Gray, and many others on his watch. Johnson is of the school of thought that pitchers today generally don’t throw enough, and is an advocate of long toss as a method of building up arm strength. While I don’t know enough to have strong opinions on that matter, it did remind of Carlos Gomez, who in a brief stint writing for The Hardball Times in 2007 meticulously dissected pitching and hitting mechanics from scouting videos.
Gomez is currently the international scouting director for the LAAofAA, having also served in that role for the Diamondbacks. The BA article reminded me of Gomez because it was in one of his pieces that I first became aware of Derek Johnson.
Vanderbilt’s pitching coach, Derek Johnson, and I share many views on mechanics. By the way, Mr. Johnson knows what he’s talking about. Send your kids to Vanderbilt to get the best pitching instruction possible.
What exactly are Gomez’s views?
For the most part, I prefer “athletes who pitch.” Athletes move quickly. Athletes get it and go and don’t think about it too much…I like violence. I like aggressive, twisting sonsabitches who “go after it.”
His scouting breakdowns predictably praised pitchers who drifted through their balance point, took long, aggressive strides toward the plate, and accompanied their approaches with short arm actions. This positive take on Jake Peavy is a typical example, as is this criticism of newly-signed Cub Dontrelle Willis. I don’t think it’s safe to assume that Johnson and Gomez agree on all the finer points of pitching, but I would guess is there is considerable overlap.
Gomez definitely has some retrospective misses in his prospect evaluation, but on the whole, he does pretty well. Take his top five pitchers from the 2007 draft, for example:
1) LHP David Price, Devil Rays (First overall)
2) RHP Rick Porcello, Tigers (27th overall)
3) RHP Jarrod Parker, DiamondBacks (ninth overall)
4) LHP Madison Bumgarner, Giants (tenth overall)
5) RHP Casey Weathers, Rockies (eighth overall)
He also happens to be the first scout I read who at all criticized Josh Vitters‘s swing:
However, Vitters seems to get “extended” maybe even farther in front than Moustakas, and does not let the ball travel deep into the zone…(Bad in terms of power.)
If you have some free time, it’s worth browsing his archives. They are interesting in their own right, and may indirectly shed some light on the organization’s current take on pitching.
Comments
Btw, I don’t have a BA subscription, so if anyone wants to pass along an interesting snippet or two from it, that would be much appreciated.
GWQuote Reply
I think Rant Sports should do a Q&A with mb on who owns OV.
JonKneeVQuote Reply
And very interesting read by the way GW.
JonKneeVQuote Reply
Nice article, GW
@ GW:
Some tweaks to The Cubs Way!!!!
dmick89Quote Reply
http://hardballtalk.nbcsports.com/2013/01/11/milton-bradley-facing-up-to-13-years-in-prison-from-spousal-abuse-charges/
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
There’s always hope, but I’m pretty sure there ain’t nothing fixing Simpson.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89Quote Reply
http://www.thegoodphight.com/2013/1/10/3859570/sanctimonious-blowhards
dmick89Quote Reply
@ dmick89:
What demonic shrine be this?!
Rice CubeQuote Reply
@ Rice Cube:
I liked the article BTW. Just wasn’t sure that I associate Enya with a holy shrine (dying laughing)
Rice CubeQuote Reply
@ Rice Cube:
I thought that was odd too. Still liked the article. Then again, I view the HOF as a museum and not a shrine. I have a very hard time believing it was ever the intention of the HOF or MLB to create a shrine instead of a museum. I think you have to be foolish to think that was their intent.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89 wrote:
Appel could really get screwed. A ton of pressure to take whatever he is offered if the Cubs opt to go that direction.
GWQuote Reply
@ GW:
Would he decline and play a year of independent ball? If he did, would he have to re-enter the draft? He would, right?
If so, he’s really fucked and kind of stupid for not agreeing to what the Astros were willing to pay last year. I wouldn’t pay him a dollar more than what the Astros had reportedly offered (~$6 millionish). He has no leverage.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89 wrote:
I think so. Didn’t Hochevar do that? Maybe JD Drew, as well.
GWQuote Reply
I suppose he could go to Japan if he really wanted to.
GWQuote Reply
@ GW:
Yep. That’s right.
I’m really surprised he didn’t sign. I just don’t see how he’s going to be more valuable this year with even less leverage (and a year older).
dmick89Quote Reply
@ GW:
I think I read an article about that possibility for another player and it’s not as easy as it sounds. If you think about it, it makes sense too. What Japanese team is going to sign a relatively inexperienced pitcher to a 1-year contract? The reality is that Appel probably won’t even be good enough to go directly to Japan. My guess is that he’ll start in the lower minors and would be in tough shape if he was to start at AAA, which is roughly the equivalent of Japan.
dmick89Quote Reply
@ dmick89:
good point. if the cubs have a tough “get” in mind in the second round, might not be a bad strategy to lowball him.
GWQuote Reply
@ GW:
I really liked what the Astros did last year in the draft so if the Cubs took a page out of their book, I wouldn’t mind at all.
dmick89Quote Reply
Thanks GW.
THIS is the most exciting Cubs news I’ve seen since they called up Rizzo, and I believe it’ll be the new “market inefficiency” because the Cubs will have a deeper, healthier well of pitching talent as a result. This is progress. Real progress. Not just Hope Monsterism.
You know all those pitchers on the HOF ballot next year we’ve been discussing for the last 12 threads. They all were pitching >150 innings in the minors (not sure about Mussina). Somewhere I read that in the last few years only one pitcher did. Chris Volstad. Obviously pitching more in the minors doesn’t guarantee success, but pitching quality has greatly eroded.
The key is to know when a pitcher is tired and not let himself pitch after that. As soon as the mechanics fall off, he’s out. But if he’s still going strong at 120 pitches, or 170 innings. It’s fine. Just like moving furniture. Lift right and you can do it all day. Lift with your back or after you are really tired, and bad things are bound to happen.
SVBQuote Reply
https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/response/isnt-petition-response-youre-looking
Gold.
Rice CubeQuote Reply
@ SVB:
There’s no market inefficiency here. Teams have long thought a tons of pitching talent was the key to success and at least two organizations (Rangers and I’m pretty sure the Braves) have been extending their pitchers in the minor leagues for a few years now. I’m sure there are other teams doing it too.
Once one team does it and has success, they all do it. The Rangers have had some success and now everyone else is just catching up.
The takeaway for me is that Johnson is pretty good at developing talent. He’s obviously not going to have pitchers in A ball throwing a shitload of pitches as he basically said. By the time they get to the high minors they will and I don’t think that’s uncommon at all and I don’t really know that it’s different than what the Cubs had done in previous years.
I looked at only Jay Jackson and he threw 127 innings in his first full professional season and then 157 the following year. Casey Coleman threw 149 at the age of 21.
There were 22 pitchers who threw more than 150 innings in AAA in 2011 (doesn’t even count innings they may have thrown at AA or MLB) and 17 in 2012. Factor in additional innings in other leagues, including the fall and winter leagues and there are dozens who throw over 150 innings in the minors each year.
I like the sound of what the Cubs are doing and I like what I’ve heard from Johnson and what I’ve read about him, but I don’t think the Cubs are rewriting the book on pitching here.
dmick89Quote Reply
I found Ryno. In the forest. I can’t really talk about it.
AndCountingQuote Reply
Holy shit, I forgot all about Jay Jackson. Looking at his B-Ref page, it was a wise move.
MylesQuote Reply
New Aside
MylesQuote Reply
@ Myles:
I remember being really excited about Jackson. Same thing with McNutt. Good examples of why it’s important to hold off being too excited until the player has shown he can perform at the higher levels in the minor leagues.
Right now the Cubs have some interesting talent in the minor leagues and a lot more than they did a year or two ago, but it’s all in the low minors. Hopefully we’ll get a chance to see what Baez can do in AA this year. I’ll feel a lot more confident about his future once he gets there (and plays well). I think Soler getting to AA would be great, but I think it’s probably a stretch.
The pitchers in this organization have barely pitched professionally so it’s going to be awhile before we really know what we have with them.
dmick89Quote Reply
New Shit
MylesQuote Reply
@ dmick89:
One thing I have heard is that in general it is a lot healthier to pitch more sessions of less pitches than less sessions of more pitches. i.e. throwing 120 pitches in a game once every five days is less healthy than 20 pitches every day for five days. Keeping young pitchers healthy may not be a market inefficiency but it sure as hell has been a Cubs inefficiency so for that reason i think Derek Johnson will make the cubs organization a lot better because it will help fix a huge problem hopefully
AndrewQuote Reply