A Two-Week Season: The Dale Sveum Chicago Cubs

In Commentary And Analysis by andcounting43 Comments

Sveum_1988

I know the numbers don't mean a ton at this point in the season; eleven games does not a representative sample make, especially not for any one player. And as a team, there's still far too little to effectively evaluate how good bad the 2013 Cubs will be . . . as a team. But if you combined all the Cubs' offensive stats from two weeks into the season to form a single player? Well, we've got almost enough stats to Frankenstein together our own utility player, even if all he is really good for is moaning "Fire bad!" and occasionally pinch hitting for Brent Lillibridge.

So far this season, the Cubs have amassed about 400 plate appearances, 11 homers, 35 runs, a 23.9% strikeout rate and a 5.5% walk rate (these numbers are offensive, of course, and, yes, I mean that in multiple ways). All that and more is good for a .635 OPS and a .275 wOBA. In case you're wondering, no, the Cubs position players have not yet attained replacement-level production. With positional, fielding, and baserunning adjustments factored in, they're worth 0.1 wins below a replacement level player. So that's awesome.

I used baseball-reference.com's play index to find a player in recent history who had posted a season similar to what the Cubs have accomplished so far this year as a team, and the result was mildly interesting. The player who most closely resembles your 2013 Chicago Cubs to date:

Dale Sveum, circa 1988. Check it out:

  PA K% BB% OBP SLG wRC+ wOBA
Chicago Cubs, 2013 397 23.9% 5.5% .271 .364 73 .275
Dale Sveum, 1988 495 24.6% 4.2% .274 .347 68 .280

After considering the numbers for quite awhile this morning, I've drawn the following conclusions:

. . .

Yeah, nothing really. I mean, we know neither the Cubs nor a 1988 Dale Sveum are very good, but we know that because of a lot more than just the past two weeks of data and a quick traipse through the annals of baseball-reference.com. I would never suggest that the Cubs are performing this way because of Dale Sveum. It's just a fun coincidence. It would be a more fun coincidence if their current manager was Barry Bonds and their wOBA to-date was .376. 

Still . . . come on, Cubs. Would a little plate discipline kill you?

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  1. Author
    AndCounting

    @ Berselius:
    This is a dream season for the Cubs.

    Not the kind that fulfills all our hopes and dreams, the kind where random shit happens out of nowhere, some kid you knew in 5th grade lectures you on your lack of ear hygiene, and you remember where you put the keys to your luggage.

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  2. Author
    AndCounting

    @ dmick89:

    Thanks. There were some other fairly similar names of consequence to come up: Ronny Cedeno, Corey Patterson, and Ron Coomer. It’s pretty fantastic.

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  3. Author
    AndCounting

    It would go a little something like this:

    C 2009 Pudge Rodriguez
    1B 1997 Ron Coomer
    2B 2006 Ronny Cedeno
    3B 1988 Dale Sveum
    SS 2008 Khalil Greene
    LF 1991 Dante Bichette
    CF 2005 Corey Patterson
    RF 1969 Cito Gaston

    It might actually turn out to be an improvement over this team.

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  4. Myles

    Nate wrote:

    I’m starting to think that Schierholtz signing is working out pretty good.

    Both DeJesus and Schierholtz should fetch some actual “prospects” at the deadline.

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  5. Nate

    @ Myles:

    Yea, I’m thinking that the signing of Sweeney or whoever that former BOS dude was is a sign they’ll try to trade DeJesus, Schierholtz, Soriano, and Hairston if possible. I assume they’ll just try to move everybody and get as much as they can back.

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  6. Akabari

    Intentional walk —> really hard to justify. Especially against someone like Navarro (dying laughing) (dying laughing)

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  7. josh

    Cubs just find ways to lose. And not your normal, competitive ways. You can’t trust a guy like Posey to get a hit, you have to make SURE.

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  8. GBTS

    Turns out the father in my garage-building hypothetical from last week doesn’t even have a child with thumbs, much less the ability to use a nail gun.

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