OSS: Just the guy we expected (dying laughing).
Three up:
- Early in the game, it looked like the big story would be the Cubs offense finally waking up this weekend. But as the game went on, Alec Mills kept rolling and made it look easy, keeping the Brewers bats as off balance as their gloves were today.
- Offensively, it was pretty much a team effort. Jason Heyward got the scoring started with an RBI double in the fourth inning following one (of several) Brewers errors.
- Javy’s bat has been cold, but his legs still work just fine. He stole a run off the brain farting Brewers defense as a part of the rare two-run sacrifice fly.
Zero down
I’m not going to complain about anything in a 12-0 no-hit win (dying laughing)
Comments
Keep on 2020ing, 2020.
andcountingQuote Reply
Cardinals lose.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Okay, so series like this weekend are exactly what I was talking about being absent. That’ll do, Cubs.
PerkinsQuote Reply
I don’t really know how to figure the Cubs’ magic number since the Cardinals stand to play a total of only 58 games. The Cubs-Brewers elimination number is 9, and if the Cardinals were playing all 60 the Cubs-Cardinals elimination number would be 13. I’m reasoning the actual magic number is 12, assuming if the Cardinals were to play those last two games and split them (which would render no net change in the standings) that one loss would drop the magic number by one.
But the Brewers and Cardinals also have 10 games left against each other and 0 against the Cubs, so the Cubs would have to seriously shit the bed the rest of the way to miss the playoffs altogether or even to drop to the wildcard.
The other scheduling oddity is that the Cubs’ only remaining divisional games are against the virtually eliminated Pirates. So, aside from their own win total, the Cubs have no influence left whatsoever on their own division with 2 weeks left to play. It’s all just so weird.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Pretty sure the magic number is 13.
dmick89Quote Reply
Didn’t see that coming, but I’ll take some good-weird in 2020 for once.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Thankfully, they have never done anything like that in recent memory…
ceruleanQuote Reply
berseliusQuote Reply
berseliusQuote Reply
berselius,
Bring back Z!!!
andcountingQuote Reply
I guess I’m rooting for the Brewers now? I hope the Heyward home run didn’t completely break them.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
berselius,
I meant to link the reply tweet to this one that pointed out that the Cubs have two no hitters at Miller Park, and the Brewers have none.
berseliusQuote Reply
Cardinals lose again.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Every NL Central team has a losing record except the Cubs.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
To-day’s base ball squadron
CF Happ
3B Bryant
1B Rizzo
DH Contreras
LF War Bear
SS Baez
RF Heyward
2B Kipnis
C Caratini
P Darvish
berseliusQuote Reply
Javy murdered that pitch.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Javy!!!!
andcountingQuote Reply
At least the Cardinals are getting crushed.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Happ! Bryant! Rizzo!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Ugh, terrible baserunning, Willson.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
That baserunning by Rizzo wasn’t exactly streets ahead.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Perkins,
The third base coach should have sent him.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
El Mago!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
If you watch baseball and don’t love Javy Baez, you are doing it wrong.
PerkinsQuote Reply
The Cardinals have a losing record again.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Ugh.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Oh goddamnit, Jeffress.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Perkins,
He was all over the place.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
(dying laughing)
PerkinsQuote Reply
The classic “Homer at the Bat” ending.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
The Cleveland Indians blew a 3-1 lead.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
They should have just played a 60-game Báez vs. Lindor season.
andcountingQuote Reply
Oliver Perez looks ridiculous.
dmick89Quote Reply
https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/commissioner-rob-manfred-expects-mlbs-expanded-postseason-format-to-remain-beyond-2020/
This seems like a very bad idea.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cardinals five back!
berseliusQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
Something like 30 years ago I was at a game where Rey Sanchez walked it off getting hit by Rob Dibble. That was definitely taking one for the team.
uncle daveQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
I agree(ish), but I disagree with the prediction about how it would suppress player salaries (beside the fact that everything is going to be up for collective bargaining soon anyway). The article predicts reduced intensity of competition among middle-tier teams because the threshold for postseason money would become so easy to reach. Why sign a free agent or offer an extension if you don’t really need great players in order to get playoff money?
It seems more likely that competition would become more intense among the bottom 1/2 to 1/3 of teams since the possibility of playoff money is much more attainable, especially if the owners don’t subject postseason revenue to profit sharing. If making the postseason is how a baseball owner makes real money, intentionally tanking for several years will look really stupid, especially if other franchises have less motivation to deal their veterans at the deadline.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
What I mean is, with more teams competing for playoff spots, getting demonstrably better at the trade deadline seems a lot more unlikely. So starting a season with a mediocre team and hoping to upgrade with a high-priced rental or two if you have a good first half just isn’t going to be a viable strategy in a league with only a handful of sellers.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
I wonder how moving to an NBA-style lottery would change things strategically. Not that teams still haven’t tanked in the NBA despite it.
berseliusQuote Reply
My main issue is that expanded playoffs would make regular season races less exciting and titles more of a crapshoot.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Trade deadline stuff is always relatively weird to me anyway – a single player just can’t affect things nearly as much as in e.g. the NBA. The Angels have two of the best players in baseball and are fucking terrible.
berseliusQuote Reply
berseliusQuote Reply
The Lineout Double Play Game.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Javy gonna Javy
berseliusQuote Reply
berselius,
He’s basically in kickball mode on the bases.
andcountingQuote Reply
I hope all those stranded runners don’t come back to haunt the Cubs.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Perkins,
Surely not.
andcountingQuote Reply
Javy!!!!
PerkinsQuote Reply
So the magic number is 8? That’s low enough to be pissed if they don’t clinch.
andcountingQuote Reply
Even if you take out the 13-3 start, the Cubs still have the best winning percentage in the division.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
Don’t give Manfred any ideas. (dying laughing)
andcountingQuote Reply
Cardinals lose.
7
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
I think it’s still 8 because the Reds are in 2nd place.
dmick89Quote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
Teams with losing records do not belong in playoffs. If playoffs expand to 16 teams it’s certain that sub .500 teams will qualify, even with expansion to 32 teams. (In this icky scenario, I’d give top seeds a bye.)
So I’m a hard no on 16 team playoffs in baseball. AC won’t be surprised. (dying laughing)
But I like the 2020 playoff schedule a lot. Fewer off days and relying on more of your total roster? Yes yes yes.
BVSQuote Reply
dmick89,
The crazy thing is that relative to the Reds, it’s 5.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
That’s true. That’s just messed up.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
It’s a mystery to me, because I don’t know if the standings will ultimately be determined by win percentage or wins. If St. Louis finishes 30-28 (.5172) and Cincinnati is at 31-29 (.5167), is that a tie, or . . . ? I don’t know for sure.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Why not force St Louis to play those final two games in that case?
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
I did more digging and now see they could play 1-2 more games against the Tigers the Monday after the season ends if necessary for deciding postseason berths. At this point, with two other teams in close contention for the 2nd-place Central playoff spot (not to mention the 2nd wildcard spot) it seems highly unlikely those games would be irrelevant.
andcountingQuote Reply
BVS,
Yeah, we’ve been over this. I think the basic dividing line between us is the dogma that sub-.500 teams don’t belong in the playoffs. It just seems rooted in some marriage to traditional sports philosophy I don’t really care about personally.
The records of the lowest seeds in any playoff system tells you more about the league and/or the sport than it does about any one team. With 30 teams, yeah, the 15th and 16th best teams to make the playoffs are quite likely to have losing records. If you have a few super teams, you might see 4 or 5 teams in a 16-team postseason.
You can minimize that possibility by adding two teams to the league, but you’d be making the league worse. By trying to squash a few teams with sub-.500 records that “don’t belong” in the postseason, you’d instead be adding 50 players who don’t belong in the majors. The league would be worse. The baseball would be worse.
I’d rather see a league with 30 owners motivated to field good teams and see a 80-82 team in the playoffs than watch a comparatively shitty 82-80 team in a watered-down league advance to the World Series because everybody sucks.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
It’s easier to picture if you take it to an extreme: if MLB contracted down to 16 teams, those could be some great rosters. Every team could make the playoffs for all I care, because they’d be great playoffs. The quality of the baseball would be fantastic, right? Theoretically, it would be all the players who are above average in the league as it stands, with a few players right on the outskirts. If what you want is teams worth watching, that’s the way to get there, not with some arbitrary .500 winning percentage.
andcountingQuote Reply
It’s really too bad the Cubs didn’t trade KB early in the last offseason.
dmick89Quote Reply
I don’t think I’ve ever seen a hitter get plunked as Schwarber just did and have the umpire say it was his own fault.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cyle be cruisin’
berseliusQuote Reply
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Jeffress feels less reliable of late.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Perkins,
His peripherals are ugly.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
andcounting,
The 1960 Cubs say no.
BVSQuote Reply
Perhaps, if you had 30 teams owned by the players, this might happen. Meanwhile, you still are going to have owners like the Tribune, Peter Angelos, and whoever owns Pittsburgh these days.
Why have a regular season if record doesn’t matter? Or why not ditch W-L and decide standings by team WAR or averaging team ERA+ & wRC+ or something.
BVSQuote Reply
My opinions on the playoffs in baseball have changed over the last few years. For the longest time I wanted the regular season to mean as much as possible and I was in favor of limiting the number of teams in the playoffs to as few as possible (I’d have been okay with just two teams, one from each league). But baseball is failing when it comes to attracting new fans and the average age of its fans gets older and older. I think MLB needs to do whatever it can to add new fans. Increasing the number of playoff teams is one way in which the league can potentially add some fans. Baseball still runs into the whole problem of it being really boring to watch for just about anybody who isn’t a huge baseball fan so I don’t know what they do to fix that issue, but it’s something they should probably look at.
dmick89Quote Reply
Oh, record should definitely matter. And the regular season should matter. For the longest time, the regular season didn’t matter for anyone but the top team in each league. Expansion to divisional play and the LCS helped to correct that. But it was still possible for the regular season records not to matter for a 100-plus-win second-place team, so the league added the wildcard to resolve that. The glacial progression toward having the regular season take on more significant meaning for more teams instead of a binary, “have the best record or go home” policy has taken the better part of a century to advance into reality. We can see it gives more meaning to the regular season as more teams receive some postseason benefit to winning regular season games.
I understand not wanting the same postseason reward earned by a 110-win team to be given to a 79-83 team. I don’t want that either. The playoff format should be designed for teams with superior records to benefit competitively. The financial incentives should heavily benefit teams with better records as well. (I like the idea of win totals affecting profit sharing. Teams that lose 90 games or more should see their shares of the profit cut. )
It’s bad for a 79-win team to get the same benefit as a 110-win team (which doesn’t happen, but nevertheless); it’s much worse for an 89-win team to get a worse benefit than a 40-win team (neither team sees the playoffs, but the shittier team gets better draft position).
Regular season records aren’t arbitrary, but the .500 cutoff point really is. I understand not wanting to see losing records in the postseason, but they help fill out the playoff brackets and make the postseason more marketable.
andcountingQuote Reply
While we’re fucking with the sacrosanct order of baseball, let’s really redesign the incentives to favor non-tanking teams and solve the marketability problem. (If we’re gonna fuck up baseball, might as well fuck it up real good.)
The problems: too many games that drag on over the summer, too many teams that are out of the race in September, too many shitty teams fielded, and too many teams that basically have the same chance in the postseason save for a couple games of homefield advantage.
So what if there were 144 games in a season, 120 of which would be like regular baseball as we know it, and 24 games that would be worth as much as all of those games combined, one of them every week. Call it the Power Game or Marquee Game (sorry Cubs) or something that happens every Saturday or Sunday. A points system could be added to easily see who is in the lead.
With only 24 weeks, it would be possible to have a nine day round-robin where the overall record is used to seed the top 8 in each league by points (1,2,7,8 & 3,4,5,6) to play 6 of these “Power Games” against each other allowing for more well-rounded teams with bad luck during the weighted games to make up ground and decide the playoff seeding. Higher seed gets homefield advantage.
Then, the top 6 in each league by points are seeded by overall record like the NFL with first round byes for the 1 and 2 seeds. (Does the NFL still have a first round bye? Also fuck the NFL.) A 3-game Wild Card, followed by a 5-game Division, 7-game Championship, then 9-game World Series.
And don’t count out the losers. The bottom 8 by points do a round-robin to determine order in the draft. Order uses the zipper strategy — best team by record that didn’t make the playoffs followed by worst team by points followed by second best by record then second worst by points — you get the idea.
It all seems a bit complicated, but it isn’t that crazy. It’s basically Hockey and the World Cup and then the playoffs as we know them. Entry by points favors the lopsided teams while seeding by overall record favors the well-rounded teams, so the best strategy is to have a really good record with just enough points, but there will be plenty of room for lucky cinderella teams to prove they belong. And the zipper draft ensures that the unlucky teams can improve the quickest.
While we’re at it, let’s change how the salaries are counted against the soft cap. If a player is drafted by a team, 25% of their salary over the lifetime of their career won’t count against their cap. If a player debuts/loses rookie status with a team, another 25% over their lifetime won’t count toward the team’s cap. If a player has been with a team for more than three consecutive years, each year is worth a 5% reduction against the cap. The maximum total reduction is 75%.
This way, it’s far more costly to buy a team and worth a team’s while to keep their veterans and to call up rookies to give them a chance.
I think these are interesting if not good ways to ruin baseball.
ceruleanQuote Reply
cerulean,
Could some of the power games, instead of being worth more points, be elimination games? Like the losing team gets voted off the island for the year (only to return in a play-in resurrection tournament later in the season? Or maybe we could add a war rule: if the game is tied after 9 innings, the winning team gets all the players from the losing team who have been used and taken out of the game?
andcountingQuote Reply
Oh, and there should be no league awards (MVP, Cy Young, etc) this season. The AL and NL don’t exist. There should be three sets of awards, one for each division, since those stats exist in complete quarantined isolation.
/tedtalk
andcountingQuote Reply
I don’t know if it ruins baseball, but I’d love to see some huge changes made. You could even test it out with one league keeping the current rules (LCS becomes that league’s WS) and then the other league playing by these or other new rules). Baseball is such a small sport compared to what it was 30 years ago that they’ve got nothing to lose. They can always revert to the rules that keeps most fans away if they want. It’s not like they’re really going to lose a whole lot of viewers regardless of what they do anyway. I think the easiest changes to make are adding playoff teams and I’d actually favor doing two smaller seasons during each calendar year. Play two seasons of 100 games with 16 teams making the playoffs in each round of playoffs.
dmick89Quote Reply
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
andcounting,
Perfect (dying laughing)
ceruleanQuote Reply
dmick89,
Two 100-game seasons plus playoffs would make the season year-round. Maybe 70-game seasons. But two separate World Series a year seems excessive.
ceruleanQuote Reply
False
berseliusQuote Reply
cerulean,
You could shorten spring training to 2 weeks. Start playing practice games on day one. Ten game pre-season schedule. Increase the rosters and go with fewer days off. It could be done.
dmick89Quote Reply
Stupid Pirates.
PerkinsQuote Reply
There’s so little data with this shortened season, but I find it pretty interesting that the home teams in MLB so far are, on average, three games over .500. There are 18 teams with winning records at home but only 10 with winning road records. The teams with the two best home records also have crazy home/road splits: the Twins (16 games over .500 at home, 6 under on the road) and the Yankees (14 over at home, 4 under on the road).
Again, not a ton of data, but it sure makes it feel like the fans don’t really mean shit. (dying laughing)
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Home winning percentage in 2020 is .560. Each of the last two seasons it was .525.
andcountingQuote Reply
cerulean,
also, we should figure out a way for dan cortese and bill bellamy to work out a mid-game trade of bobby bonilla for the salt/pepa combo.
(but seriously, I could definitely get behind some of these ideas)
EnricoPallazzoQuote Reply
I’m sure somebody has mentioned this before, but what about adding loaning a player to another team. It acts the same way as a trade, but the trading team gets the player back at the end of the season. Last year the Cubs could have loaned out several of their stars and gotten some talent in return while also keeping them around for this season.
dmick89Quote Reply
If the Cubs offense was worth even half a shit they’d have already clinched this division.
dmick89Quote Reply
I hate ESPN. The actual game often takes up only about half the screen.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Looks like the Emmy voters actually made a good decision for once, with Schitt’s Creek going 4/4 in the acting categories.
berseliusQuote Reply
berselius,
I was hoping that show would do well and that Regina King would be given all the other awards.
dmick89Quote Reply
It’s worth a fart that reminds you you should probably head to the bathroom soon, but it’s not an emergency. Whatever fraction of a shit that is, that’s what the Cubs offense is worth.
andcountingQuote Reply
I predict the Cubs score 8 runs in this series and they’ll score all of those runs in 2 different innings. Pirates take 2 of 3. Cubs/Cardinals end season tied in loss column.
dmick89Quote Reply
Looks like oblique trouble for Bryant. This would be more concerning if he were doing anything at the plate.
PerkinsQuote Reply
The Cubs have pounded out 7 hits and scored 5 runs in one game. Wow.
dmick89Quote Reply
Perkins,
Yeah, KB is an injury waiting to happen these days. Guy can’t go a week without tweaking something.
dmick89Quote Reply
Maybe.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
The magic number is 4 for the division and 2 for the playoffs. I know it all seems moot unless the Cubs can face the Pirates in the first round but we still really don’t know much of anything about how good any division is. We just have no idea how the East would compare to the Central in a full season let alone the crapshoot of the playoffs.
andcountingQuote Reply
To some extent this is true, but I feel like if we wanted to get a picture of the best divisions, we could do that with enough information. Furthermore, I think historically, the NL Central (and the AL Central) have proven to be the weakest divisions in each league and without any evidence suggesting otherwise, I’m okay if we assume the same is true this season.
dmick89Quote Reply
I’m glad that Happ has started to fit in better with this offense. He was really struggling early this year, but has turned it around in time and he’s well on his way to being just another shitty Cubs hitter.
dmick89Quote Reply
Someone should remind the Cubs hitters that they can get four free bases if they hit the ball over the outfield wall.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
They better make the Pirates pay for running up the score.
andcountingQuote Reply
Just wait to see how bad this offense is against some playoff pitching.
dmick89Quote Reply
Rizzo!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
The Cubs are officially going to the postseason.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
I read an interesting article in Deadspin on how the postseason this year will more closely resemble the regular season because of the lack of off days. The downside is that only makes it more likely the Dodgers run away with it.
PerkinsQuote Reply
The Cubs this year are among the worst playoff teams of all time.
dmick89Quote Reply
Welp.
andcountingQuote Reply
This is almost certainly not true.
But it feels true.
Smokestack LightningQuote Reply
dmick89,
Not only am I too lazy to research this in any significant way, I’m also pretty sure it’s not even a question worth considering. I mean, it’s difficult enough trying to figure out how reliable this 60-game season will have been in determining the best teams in each division let alone the best teams in each league without any interdivisional play. Were it not for the aforementioned laziness, those questions might be worth investigating, but this Cubs team compared to other teams in history? There’s just way too much screwiness this season.
This team has been massively frustrating to watch, at least for the second half of the season. But I also really like this team in general. I like how enthusiastic they’ve been with no fans around. They seem like a really cohesive team. They’ve somehow stayed away from COVID thus far. It’s a whole different set of parameters this year that you just can’t compare to any previous seasons.
I’m not really watching much baseball outside of the Central, but I’m happy with this team, especially the starting pitchers from a purely baseball perspective.
andcountingQuote Reply
i feel like the cubs are going to lose out the rest of the season and still win the division
EnricoPallazzoQuote Reply
I mean, find me another 32-win playoff team.
uncle daveQuote Reply
EnricoPallazzo,
I’ve kinda felt that way since opening day.
dmick89Quote Reply
uncle dave,
(dying laughing)
dmick89Quote Reply
andcounting,
Part of it for me is that this team has grown so frustrating over the last 2-3 years that it’s just the accumulation of it at this point. There hasn’t been a swing that KB has taken in more than a year that I didn’t think was going to land him on the IL. Thinking back to 2015 and 2016 when this team had so much young talent and looking at them now is upsetting. What the fuck happened?
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Yeah, that makes sense. It’s pretty much where I was at the beginning of this season before COVID. I guess my expectations changed after I figured the season wouldn’t happen. Yu Darvish returning to form (and learning how the Astros probably were responsible for him faltering to begin with).
But yeah. The organization has disappointed. I pretty much file Bryant away in the Mark Prior wing. Yet somehow they’re still winning? Maybe that’s what keeps me hanging on, the fact that they’re still better than I’ve ever experienced on a sustained basis. And World Series and shit.
andcountingQuote Reply
I can’t wait to finally clinch the wild card.
dmick89Quote Reply
This dude is BEGGING the Cubs to let him walk them, but they are not having it.
andcountingQuote Reply
This offense is fucking terrible.
dmick89Quote Reply
Bad pitchers pitching poorly, Cubs get one run.
andcountingQuote Reply
Losing 2 in a row to the pirates should result in losing their postseason spot.
dmick89Quote Reply
2016 happened. And then 20fucking16 happened.
ceruleanQuote Reply
dmick89,
Facing the Pirates is just too much pressure.
andcountingQuote Reply
Every time I feel bad about the Cubs I remember that they aren’t the Orioles and Chris Davis still has 2 years on his contract (plus 15 years of deferred payments).
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
hey there’s no shame in losing to the best
EnricoPallazzoQuote Reply
The magic number to clinch second place is 1, and it’s 3 to clinch the division (and although I don’t know for certain, I don’t think they’re going to make the Cardinals play their last two games if it can’t affect who makes the playoffs).
Yet it still feels like the Cubs just got eliminated.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Whether they get eliminated in the regular season or the first playoff series isn’t all that much of a difference. This team has no chance of winning a playoff series considering they can’t even hit a little league team.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
that just means that they’re due for a shitload of hits, or at least that’s my understanding of how statistics work
EnricoPallazzoQuote Reply
Ugh. Rizzo killed that ball.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cubs players should opt out of the rest of the season. This is embarrassing.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
How exactly would we know if they did that?
andcountingQuote Reply
I have a feeling we’ll remember the Mills game as one of the flukiest no-hitters in history.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
More likely I’ll just remember it as the average offensive performance from the 2020 Cubs.
dmick89Quote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
Maybe even flukier than today’s no-hitter.
andcountingQuote Reply
My 2020 World Series Champs tattoo feels premature, all of a sudden.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
(dying laughing) I thought he was talking about the Mills game as in today’s game. I already forgot Mills threw a no hitter.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
(dying laughing) I have found myself saying “Oh shit, I forgot that happened” pretty much every week, and it’s always something that happened this year.
andcountingQuote Reply
I literally just said “dying laughing” out loud when seeing the score of this game.
berseliusQuote Reply
I guess I was wrong. We won’t remember what’s-his-face at all.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
That was some ugly shit.
andcountingQuote Reply
I forgot today was a day game, and I’m glad I did.
PerkinsQuote Reply
I’m about 60% certain that the Pirates are actually a better team than the Cubs. I was about 58% certain of this prior to this series. Neither team is any good.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
I dunno, Hayes looks promising, and their pitchers are untouchable for the most part.
andcountingQuote Reply
This series should be decent if for no other reason than I think the Sox are actually good. I enjoy watching them.
andcountingQuote Reply
10% of the Cubs offense is being bad at dodgeball.
andcountingQuote Reply
I predict the Cubs get swept and score a total of 5 runs on 17 hits.
dmick89Quote Reply
It’s hard to believe Javy was an above-average hitter two years in a row.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
I’m honestly impressed the Cubs hitters even try at this point. They’re so bad the only smart decision for them is to go home for the winter and try again next year. Instead, they’re more than thrilled to embarrass themselves every single day.
dmick89Quote Reply
Schwarber!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
It’s hard to believe he had above average results two years in a row. I was always skeptical that he had actually improved. I’m glad the Cubs never locked him up long term.
dmick89Quote Reply
Willson!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Imagine having Anthony Rizzo steal a base on you.
PerkinsQuote Reply
False.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
You did much better predicting the last series, (dying laughing).
andcountingQuote Reply
Outside of leaving out a game, this was almost exactly right.
andcountingQuote Reply
Love the Contreras bat flip on the intentional HBP.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Not surprised Willson got plunked, but I’m a little surprised the pitcher got tossed.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cubs offense doin’ ok today
berseliusQuote Reply
Gift runs are nice, too.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Let’s hope they didn’t use up all their offense in this game.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Willson should have done an even more impressive bat flip after that 2nd home run.
dmick89Quote Reply
I enjoyed how after the HBP, the Cubs continued the rout and shit on all the unwritten rules. That’s a lot more satisfying than a retaliatory HBP.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Not surprised I’d overestimate the average runs per game.
dmick89Quote Reply
Pitchers are idiots. All these years later, you’d think they’d notice that hitting batters in retaliation for bat flips has not made a bit of difference. If anything, Willson is probably ten times more likely to start doing bat flips because there’s a chance he gets a free base the next time up.
dmick89Quote Reply
Another gift run!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cubs lose.
dmick89Quote Reply
Bryant!!!!
PerkinsQuote Reply
KBoom!
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Throw better, please.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Stupid defense.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Three walks in an inning is also bad, imo.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Lester was in at least two batters too long.
PerkinsQuote Reply
The Cubs made a deal with the Devil to fix their offense at the expense of their defense.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Does anyone care about this stupid simulated World Series they’re doing on Marquee?
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cubs——>2020 NL Central Champions
PerkinsQuote Reply
Cubs——>2020 NL Central Champions
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Damn. Too late.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Cubs/Marlins?
dmick89Quote Reply
I’m not going to lie, I was really excited by the Bryant grand slam and his almost doubling his season RBI total tonight. I like that he’s pissed.
I’m pretty sure the Cubs could still wind up facing the Cardinals or the Brewers as well. I think most of the crazier scenarios hinge on the Cardinals losing.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
I thought the WC teams got the 7/8 seeds. Been a little while since I read about the playoff format, but based on how I understood it, the Cubs and Marlins should be playing a 3-game set at Wrigley. Possible I misunderstood something. Probably even likely that I did.
dmick89Quote Reply
I’m fine with him being pissed, but his comment comes off as if the Cubs fans haven’t had his back for the last 6-7 years, which is undeniably false. If KB was black or brown, Cubs fans would have started a campaign to have him traded at least a few years ago. Knowing what I do now, I wish the Cubs traded him prior to this season, but mostly I’m just glad they didn’t sign him to an extension a few years ago.
dmick89Quote Reply
Yeah, it’s a stupid thing to say and he’s lucky he can get away with it. But I’m glad he’s mad enough to say dumb shit. I can appreciate anyone who just says, fuck it and hit homers. (dying laughing)
andcountingQuote Reply
Fixed
ceruleanQuote Reply
A nice pantsing to head into the postseason would sure be great after yesterday.
berseliusQuote Reply
Nothing like striking out twice in one inning.
andcountingQuote Reply
I’d consider starting Alzolay in a game 3 over Lester, or at least piggybacking them.
PerkinsQuote Reply
(dying laughing) Billy Hamilton hit a HR.
PerkinsQuote Reply
Perkins,
Alzolay has really flashed the past few appearances. I feel very slightly less worried about the 2021 rotation (dying laughing). Slightly.
berseliusQuote Reply
This Brailyn Marquez debut is, ah, not quite as auspicious as Alzolay’s play of late.
berseliusQuote Reply
I think I witnessed his last homerun — it came off of Jon Lester in the Cubs’ home opener (dying laughing)
We were so innocent then…
ceruleanQuote Reply
I had forgotten that Ross and Heyward were two of the heroes of that game. The actual hero has been redacted.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Hamilton is no Tony Campana though
berseliusQuote Reply
I guess I spoke too soon (dying laughing).
berseliusQuote Reply
berselius,
It’s a mutual pantsing
ceruleanQuote Reply
M ——> inverted
berseliusQuote Reply
I appreciate the way the Cubs freed me of that glimmer of hope I had let creep in today. (dying laughing)
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
Today was a good reminder that the Cubs aren’t going far in the playoffs. About two games probably.
dmick89Quote Reply
I assume it’s Darvish, Hendricks and Lester on a short leash if Alzolay hasn’t been used in game 1 or 2.
dmick89Quote Reply
I think I can tolerate Lester once through the order.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Also, better put a good defense behind him, because he’s not going to strike anyone out.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
It’s a good thing there are no fans in the Superdome, since the boos directed towards the refs would be deafening to everyone involved (dying laughing). The Saints can’t catch a break at all, and this is coming from a Packers fan.
berseliusQuote Reply
There are four teams from the NL Central in the playoffs. I realize it’s still completely possible the Cubs are the worst division winner and that the two central divisions are the worst divisions (though it’s tough to argue the AL West isn’t just awful). But of the 10 Central teams in the Cubs’ regular season pool, 7 are in the postseason.
It’s weird, right?
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
It’s also possible that after the first round of the playoffs, four NL Central teams will battle for the League Championship . . . or that none will. This basically feels like every season of Big Ten football at New Year’s.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
I think the Cardinals are the best team in the NL Central followed by the Reds. The Cubs/Brewers are probably 70-75 win teams over 162 games. The Pirates suck. I think the AL Central is pretty good.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Yeah, I can’t figure out what I really suspect. I’ve been looking at the numbers (in vain, I’m sure) trying to find something telling about which divisions might be good.
It seems like the NL West is good because we just kinda know the Dodgers are good.
But the AL West is so bad, or at least so much worse than their NL counterparts. In all of MLB, only 11 teams had winning interleague records. Four of them were in the NL West, none were in the AL West. The Rockies went 9-11, but that was their best split, even better than their home record. In other words, the Rockies’ best chance of winning at any point in the year was when they were playing the AL West, with pretty much everyone in the NL West enjoying similar interleague boosts to their winning percentages.
One other oddity to come out of interleague play was the Tigers. They had the 5th best interleague record, at 11-7. Minnesota and Cleveland were above and below them respectively, but the overall interleague results in the Central were pretty split except for the Pirates, the absolute worst in baseball (3-17).
The East divisions bore me, but the AL definitely appeared to be slightly better.
All of this seems so meaningless with a 60-game pool of data and a functional idiot sifting through it, but I’ll add one other thing:
Pythagorean standings are pretty much likewise rendered useless by the absence of divisional overlap, but the basic results show that the Marlins were the luckiest team in baseball. They were 5 games above what you’d expect by their run differential. So that’s mildly encouraging as much as it pertains to a 3-game crapshoot.
andcountingQuote Reply
andcounting,
I think you could probably look at stats and find evidence to support whatever you wanted based on so few games this year. What really surprises me is that we didn’t have any individual performers that shattered single season rate records.
Anyway, looks like Hendricks in game one, Yu in game two. No clue who gets the ball in game three. I wish the series started tonight. I hate the extra day off.
dmick89Quote Reply
Short season, of course, but this provides evidence against crowd effects driving home field advantage.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
I wouldn’t expect neutral-site playoffs to have HFA, but perhaps batting last has an inherent advantage.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Lester in game three.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Agreed. I have to say, I love how many games there are. I don’t expect them to all be very good, but it’s fun.
Abreu is having himself a year for the White Sox.
andcountingQuote Reply
I’d noticed that earlier. Looking back at previous seasons, home winning percentage has been a fairly consistent rate. Sixty games isn’t a huge sample, but it’s really interesting what happened this year (or that home field advantage didn’t go down). The difference was considerable.
andcountingQuote Reply
New shit
http://www.obstructedview.net/postseason-series-preview-miami-marlins-31-29-at-chicago-cubs-34-26/
berseliusQuote Reply