Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros

Time: 7:05 pm CT
Gameday
B-Ref Preview

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Astros wOBA wRC RS
Starlin Castro .332 .556 -0.13 Michael Bourn .307 .451 0.03
Darwin Barney .293 .385 0.03 Angel Sanchez .287 .362 -0.07
Marlon Byrd .338 .560 -0.01 Hunter Pence .342 .573 -0.01
Aramis Ramirez .350 .590 -0.03 Carlos Lee .338 .546 -0.05
Jeff Baker .312 .431 -0.01 Brett Wallace .326 .483 0.03
Geovany Soto .362 .603 -0.01 Bill Hall .311 .417 -0.09
Alfonso Soriano .339 .504 0.00 Matt Downs .312 .408 0.03
Tyler Colvin .318 .422 0.00 J.R. Towles .307 .384 -0.02
Carlos Zambrano .175 .000 0.00 Wandy Rodriguez .175 .000 0.00
4.1 -.14 3.6 -0.15

 

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Carlos Zambrano 5.81 3.92
Wandy Rodriguez 6.00 3.71
Bullpens xFIP
Cubs 4.05
Astros 4.5

Score: Cubs 4.1, Astros 3.6
Win Probability: 50.7%

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Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros

Time: 7:05 pm CT
Gameday
B-Ref Preview

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Astros wOBA wRC RS
Starlin Castro .332 .554 -0.13 Michael Bourn .307 .448 0.03
Darwin Barney .293 .383 0.03 Angel Sanchez .287 .360 -0.07
Marlon Byrd .338 .558 -0.01 Hunter Pence .342 .571 -0.01
Aramis Ramirez .350 .588 -0.03 Carlos Lee .338 .543 -0.05
Carlos Pena .378 .677 -0.01 Jason Michaels .318 .451 -0.04
Alfonso Soriano .339 .516 -0.10 Bill Hall .311 .415 -0.09
Geovany Soto .362 .585 0.00 Chris Johnson .319 .431 -0.05
Tyler Colvin .318 .420 0.00 Humberto Quintero .272 .260 -0.01
James Russell .175 .000 0.00 Brett Myers .175 .000 0.00
4.3 -.24 3.5 -0.29

 

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
James Russell 3.50 5.79
Brett Myers 6.32 4.07
Bullpens xFIP
Cubs 3.33
Astros 4.5

Score: Cubs 4.8, Astros 4
Win Probability: 53.5%

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Chicago Cubs @ Houston Astros

Time: 7:05 pm CT
Gameday

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Astros wOBA wRC RS
Starlin Castro .332 .557 -0.13 Michael Bourn .307 .451 0.03
Darwin Barney .293 .386 0.03 Angel Sanchez .287 .363 -0.07
Marlon Byrd .338 .561 -0.01 Hunter Pence .342 .574 -0.01
Aramis Ramirez .350 .591 -0.03 Carlos Lee .338 .546 -0.05
Carlos Pena .378 .680 -0.01 Brett Wallace .326 .484 0.03
Alfonso Soriano .339 .518 -0.10 Chris Johnson .319 .445 -0.05
Tyler Colvin .318 .430 0.00 Joe Inglett .301 .372 -0.06
Geovany Soto .362 .577 -0.01 Humberto Quintero .272 .262 -0.01
Ryan Dempster .175 .000 0.00 Nelson Figueroa .175 .000 0.00
4.3 -.25 3.5 -0.19

 

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Ryan Dempster 6.23 3.95
Nelson Figueroa 7.33 4.31
Bullpens xFIP
Cubs 3.7
Astros 5.4

Score: Cubs 5, Astros 3.6
Win Probability: 60.7%

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Ryan Dempster 6.23 3.95
Nelson Figueroa 7.33 4.31

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Cubs @ Brewers, 1:10 pm

 

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Brewers wOBA wRC RS
Kosuke Fukudome .343 .594 -0.13 Rickie Weeks .349 .622 -0.02
Starlin Castro .332 .537 -0.03 Carlos Gomez .297 .396 0.04
Marlon Byrd .338 .556 -0.01 Ryan Braun .378 .714 -0.07
Aramis Ramirez .350 .586 -0.03 Prince Fielder .404 .795 -0.03
Carlos Pena .378 .675 -0.01 Mark Kotsay .304 .398 -0.08
Geovany Soto .362 .600 -0.01 Yuniesky Betancourt .309 .405 -0.05
Tyler Colvin .318 .426 0.00 Craig Counsell .308 .391 -0.07
Darwin Barney .293 .333 0.03 George Kottaras .317 .417 0.00
Casey Coleman .175 .000 0.00 Yovani Gallardo .175 .000 0.00
4.3 -.2 4.1 -0.3

 

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Casey Coleman 5.49 5.14
Yovani Gallardo 6.14 3.37
Bullpens xFIP
Cubs 3.38
Brewers 4.13

Score: Cubs 4.2, Brewers 4.9
Win Probability: 38.8%

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Cubs @ Brewers

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Brewers wOBA wRC RS
Jeff Baker .312 .467 -0.13 Rickie Weeks .349 .621 -0.02
Starlin Castro .332 .536 -0.03 Nyjer Morgan .305 .427 0.04
Marlon Byrd .338 .556 -0.01 Ryan Braun .378 .713 -0.07
Aramis Ramirez .350 .586 -0.03 Prince Fielder .404 .795 -0.03
Geovany Soto .362 .616 -0.01 Casey McGehee .331 .499 -0.02
Carlos Pena .378 .657 -0.01 Yuniesky Betancourt .309 .405 -0.05
Alfonso Soriano .339 .500 0.00 Mark Kotsay .304 .377 -0.08
Reed Johnson .300 .355 -0.09 Wil Nieves .270 .250 -0.04
Matt Garza .175 .000 0.00 Chris Narveson .175 .000 0.00
4.3 -.3 4.1 -0.26

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Cubs @ Brewers

The Cubs have recalled Jeff Stevens and officially placed Randy Wells and Andrew Cashner on the DL. Casey Coleman will be called up prior to Sunday’s start and presumably James Russell will get the start on Tuesday in Cashner’s place. Onto the game tonight.

Cubs wOBA wRC RS Brewers wOBA wRC RS
Jeff Baker .312 .477 -0.13 Rickie Weeks .349 .631 -0.02
Starlin Castro .332 .546 -0.03 Carlos Gomez .297 .405 0.04
Marlon Byrd .338 .565 -0.01 Ryan Braun .378 .723 -0.07
Aramis Ramirez .350 .595 -0.03 Prince Fielder .404 .804 -0.03
Geovany Soto .362 .625 -0.01 Casey McGehee .331 .508 -0.02
Carlos Pena .378 .665 -0.01 Yuniesky Betancourt .309 .414 -0.05
Alfonso Soriano .339 .509 0.00 Nyjer Morgan .305 .388 0.04
Tyler Colvin .318 .426 0.00 George Kottaras .317 .425 0.00
Carlos Zambrano .175 .000 0.00 Randy Wolf .175 .000 0.00
4.4 -.2 4.3 -0.10

Interesting that as much as Cubs fans make fun of the Brewers defense that the Cubs defense is quite a bit worse this season. I’m just as guilty as anyone here.

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Carlos Zambrano 5.81 3.92
Randy Wolf 6.19 4.42
Bullpens xFIP
Cubs 3.94
Brewers 4.74

Cubs score 5.3 and Brewers score 4.7. Cubs win probability is 50.8%.

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Diamondbacks @ Cubs

Just the numbers from now on. RS equals Runs Saved on defense.

Diamondbacks wOBA wRC RS Cubs wOBA wRC RS
Willie Bloomquist .296 .409 -0.13 Kosuke Fukudome .343 .602 -0.06
Chris Young
.339 .571 0.00 Starlin Castro .332 .545 -0.03
Kelly Johnson .360 .650 -0.01 Marlon Byrd .338 .564 -0.01
Justin Upton .381 .712 0.03 Aramis Ramirez .350 .594 -0.03
Miguel Montero .339 .537 -0.01 Tyler Colvin .318 .457 0.00
Melvin Mora .313 .426 -0.15 Alfonso Soriano .339 .521 -0.10
Juan Miranda .333 .486 0.00 Geovany Soto .362 .591 -0.01
Gerardo Parra .327 .457 -0.03 Blake DeWitt .321 .436 -0.03
Armando Galarraga .175 .000 0.00 Ryan Dempster .175 .000 0.00
4.2 -.3 4.3 -0.26

Both defenses kind of suck.

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Armando Galarraga 5.83 5.19
Ryan Dempster 6.23 3.95
Bullpens xFIP
Diamondbacks 3.27
Cubs 3.86

Huge advantage here for the Cubs.

Runs

Cubs: 5.8
Diamondbacks: 5.0

Win Probability

Cubs, 61.4%

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Diamondbacks @ Cubs

The projections below are from the 2011 ZiPS spreadsheet. I’m using last year’s bullpen numbers.

Diamondbacks wOBA wRC Cubs wOBA wRC
Willie Bloomquist .296 .409 Kosuke Fukudome .343 .602
Dan Johnson .349 .612 Starlin Castro .332 .545
Justin Upton .381 .731 Marlon Byrd .338 .564
Miguel Montero .339 .553 Aramis Ramirez .350 .594
Chris Young .339 .536 Tyler Colvin .318 .457
Juan Miranda .333 .499 Alfonso Soriano .339 .521
Ryan Roberts .316 .426 Darwin Barney .293 .346
Gerardo Parra .327 .457 Koyie Hill .273 .268
Barry Enright .175 .000 Andrew Cashner .175 .000
4.2 3.9

To say the Cubs offense isn’t very good today is an understatement. Now watch them score 9 runs.

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Barry Enright 5.71 5.05
Andrew Cashner 4.79 4.63
Bullpens xFIP
Diamondbacks 5.74
Cubs 4.72

This all comes out to 5.4 runs scored for each team and since the Cubs are at home, their win probability today is just under 54%.

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Obstructed View Now Playing

It would be foolish of us to start by telling you everything we have planned with this blog so you can set unreasonable expectations. The truth is we only have a tentative plan, which is to keep doing what we’ve been doing on our own blogs. It’s what brought you to our initial sites and it’s hopefully what will keep you at this one.  For more details on our personal lives, check out our About Us page. 

We think there are several reasons to be excited about Obstructed View. To our knowledge, no Cubs blog has offered the range of topics, opinions and relevant information as this one will. We’ll provide some commentary, laughter, some stats, and some very well written articles. They’ll come from a wide range of people who all help to make this a better place and hopefully the best Cubs blog.

If you don’t like math with your Cubs, don’t worry. There will be plenty here for you to enjoy. If you come here for discussion on stats, there will also be plenty for you to read. If you just come here to talk nonsense, there will be no shortage of that either. Each article may not have what you want, but we’re certain if you give us a chance you’ll be glad you did.

This a Joomla driven site and those familiar with ACB are also familiar with how it works. For those not so familiar, there’s a login box at the top of the screen. Scroll over it and you’ll see an icon to register. You don’t have to, but an annoying and oddly difficult captcha will be enabled as soon as the site starts getting spammed. We encourage you to sign up at Obstructed View so it’s easier for you to comment.

There are twitter icons at the top of the page. There is one for the blog and then one for each of our personal twitter accounts. We suggest you follow them all and then email 10 friends and tell them to follow them too. Be sure to like Obstructed View on facebook.

It’s a simple layout so there shouldn’t be much confusion. If you have troubles, please scroll over Site on the Menu and click on Contact Obstructed View. Someone will get back with you as soon as possible. You’ll notice there is a contact link for each of us as well as one for the blog. If you’d like to tell Berselius that you think And Counting is ugly, this is where you click. You can also use the individual contact form to ask one or all of them if they’d like to be your BFF. We assume you can figure out what to do, but for all site related comments, questions or complaints, please use the Obstructed View comment form. It’s easier for us that way. We’re anticipating thousands of emails per day.

Obstructed View should be mobile friendly. It seems all of us who started the blog have iphones so that’s all we’ve been able to test it on, but it should be friendly to most mobile devices. Please use the Contact Obstructed View form above if you are using a device that it is not working properly with.

Since we’re cheap, we’ve chosen not to spend more money on hosting than we have to. As a result, it is possible this site will have to increase its hosting package and the site could have some performance issues before that. Do. Not. Worry. Also, please do not contact us about this as we will be watching it more closely than you. We will increase whatever needs to be increased and have the site working as it should as quickly as possible.

We had a lot preparing this site. Thanks to a comment from Melissa on Facebook, Adam made the Traveling Willburys image you see on the About page. Then he made a few others and Tim joined in and before long each of us were making similar images. You can find all of them in the image gallery at the bottom of the About page.

Tell all your friends. Write about us on Facebook, Twitter and other social networking sites. Bookmark the site and make sure you come back. We hope you enjoy the blog as much as we enjoy having you here.

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About Us

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Obstructed View was launched on March 27, 2011 by four bloggers who had been writing about the Cubs on their own sites for a long time.  Other than being white males about the same age who all grew up in the Midwest, these four have little in common. Aisle 424 likes mustard and relish on his hot dogs while drinking a Budweiser.  And Counting prefers the dog plain and enjoys Miller Lite.  Berselius looks forward to the chili dogs and drinking Bud Light.  MB21 likes mustard and onion only while drinking a Miller High Life.  Aisle 424’s favorite Cub of all time was the best Cubs player to ever wear the number 21.  And Counting’s favorite was the best Cubs player ever from Dominican Republic.  Berselius liked the best right fielder in club history while MB21’s favorite was the guy who sprinted out of the dugout and paid respect to the many fans each inning.

Aisle 424

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Tim should have been a White Sox fan.  He was born in the South Suburbs of Chicago and his very first baseball game at the age of 6 involved the White Sox winning at old Comiskey on a go-ahead homerun in the bottom of the 8th inning.  Harry Caray was still there and did his thing, there were fireworks, and he had all sorts of unhealthy ballpark food bought for him throughout the game.  The next year, he attended his first Cubs game that ended as a 7-0 loss to the Phillies at Wrigley.  That day, he learned from the gentleman in front of him that Dave Kingman was “useless,” Bill Buckner was “over-rated,” and that the Cubs were Mike Schmidt’s bitches.  He also learned that he loved the Cubs.  WGN broadcasting games during the daytime hours only served to deepen his growing infatuation.

One of the highlights of Tim’s entire life was being present at the Sandberg Game on his 12th birthday.  If there was ever any hope that he would shake the addiction to the Cubs, it ended that day.

When he grew up and started making enough money to have a little disposable income, he decided to purchase season tickets for the Cubs because he thought things were starting to come together positively for the Cubs.  That was 1998.  Through the ups and (mostly) downs of the following seasons, he grew close with his “summer family” and eventually started the blog Tales from Aisle 424.  Somehow people found it and he ended up getting to know Adam, David, and Jeff though their blogs.

When he gave up the season tickets after finally reaching an end to his willingness to spend ever-increasing amounts of money on a team that never has and (in his opinion) never will win anything with their current methods, he was provided an opportunity to segue into this new blog that brings together a combination of humor, opinions, statistical analysis, and just enough unfounded love for the Cubs to continue writing about them.  Tim doesn’t get too heavily into the stat side of things, he is here mostly for his ability to make an inappropriate joke in any situation. Boobs.

And Counting

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Like most writers worth their weight in Cubs promotional giveaway Beanie Babies, Adam is a conflicted mess. His brain tells him the Cubs aren’t built to win now or in the future. His heart tells him there’s a chance the Cubs win the World Series every year, and those chances have never been better than now. His soul tells him he’s destined to suffer the fate his brain predicts and the disappointment his heart has set him up for. His gut tells him there really is something to the Koyie Hill mystique. His thumbs tell him otherwise. His accountant tells him he can’t afford to keep going to Cubs games. His therapist says to keep the faith and to keep seeing him every Tuesday at 6. His spleen cheers for the Indians.

The “And Counting” blogging lose-o-meter began at 101 in the hopes that the Cubs would win a World Series 101 years after their last championship, an impulse believed to have originated in a benign pituitary cyst. But his decision to follow the Cubs began 28 years earlier, thanks to Jesus. Ivan DeJesus. At that age, and at that stage in the Cubs’ love affair with failure, the only thing he found interesting about the Cubs was their shortstop with the name he couldn’t pronounce. The following year, a trade shipped DeJesus to Philly and replaced him with a foul-mouth shortstop, a clean-cut Hall-of-Fame second baseman, and a broadcaster who couldn’t pronounce half the names he said. Upon the arrival of Larry Bowa, Ryne Sandberg, and Harry Caray, pretty much every part of Adam became engrossed with Chicago Cubs baseball.

Adam writes from the heart. And the brain. And the soul, gut, and thumbs. But never the spleen. Expect to be thoroughly confused, but enjoyably so.

Berselius

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Jeff aka Berselius is a baseball nerd who kept extensive statistics of a basement dartboard baseball ‘league’ at the age of 8. He grew up in Orioles territory, but it was much easier to tune into WGN than get to Baltimore, and his midwestern family were all big Cubs fans. He didn’t become more than a casual fan until moving to Wisconsin for college. Fantasy baseball got him looking at all these newfangled baseball statistics, and the availability of WGN plus the carefree life of a college student racheted up his interest. Somehow he was able to stay a fan of the Cubs despite the fact that they lost every game that he attended in person until his junior year of college. The Cubs continued to give the True Wrigley Experience at every home game he attended, but the next win witnessed at Wrigley was a pretty good one. Sometime around 2004 he began catching nearly every game on the radio, a streak that was only interrupted by the doldrums of September 2006 and his wedding/honeymoon in 2007 (which overlapped with the Z/Barrett fight and the Lou meltdown). The 2003 team is his sentimental favorite, but he never had more fun than he did watching the 2008 club (still likely the best Cubs team any of us will ever see). He has a hard time picking his favorite Cub of all time, but it’s pretty close between Sammy Sosa, Carlos Zambrano, and Mark Prior (for what might have been).

The Sabertoothed Anteater was started in the spring of 2006 to vent all the offseason ramblings that could only be quenched by actual baseball. If you poke through the archives you’ll notice that a big pluarality of the posts were in March and April. After meandering the wasteland of the Cubs blogosphere for the every-moment-savored 2008 season, he found his way to the thoughtless and vile corner that was Another Cubs Blog and never left.

Berselius writes about baseball statistics, previews each series, bitches about mlb.tv at any opportunity, and posts the occasional all-facepalm postgame when needed. When he’s not writing about baseball he’s working on math that he understands only slightly more than you do.

mb21

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Due to the fame of running the 176th best Cubs blog for 6+ years, David legally changed his name to mb21 in 2007 to protect his family’s privacy.  He had no Cubs fans in his family, but he loved baseball at the earliest of ages.  Growing up in southeastern Iowa, if you wanted to watch baseball on television, you watched WGN. Although he watched many games between 1980 and 1983, it was when he was 9 years old that he became a Cubs fan for life.  The 1984 season was a memorable one to say the least.  Little did he know that he’d spend much of his life chasing that high from 1984.  He got a taste of it in 1989 and in 1998 it was overshadowed by the terrific home run race between Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa.  Greg Maddux is his favorite player of all-time and he watched many Braves games after Maddux left the Cubs.  He was thrilled to see his favorite player finally win a ring, but it came with the wrong team. 

mb21 began blogging about the Cubs sometime in 2003 and along with two others he started the super famous Another Cubs Blog in January, 2005.  At its peak, ACB climbed to the 176th best Cubs blog.  He hopes to be a part of one that cracks the top 170 this time. More than that, he’d just like to see the Cubs win a championship, but has begun to wonder if that will ever happen. 

 


 

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