Cubs 5, Brewers 3

In Postgame by berselius149 Comments

OSS: Cubs come back and win in extras thanks to a Bryant bomb.

Three up:

  1. Kris Bryant hit a go-ahead two run homer in the tenth inning to put the Cubs back in the lead. Bryant was 3-4 on the day and also drew a walk, which was mitigated somewhat by the dozen or so double plays that the Cubs hit into during this game.
  2. In fact, the Bryant HR wasn't the highest WPA play of the game. That honor goes to Javy Baez, who hit a two out RBI single in the ninth to tie the game.
  3. I'm just scouting the statline here, but it looks like Arrieta had a fairly promising return from his leg injury.

Three down:

  1. It felt like the Cubs should have scored something like 12 runs in this game. But I'll take the W.
  2. Rizzo was tossed out at home in the tenth inning in one of the weirder double plays that you'll see, as well as a terrible send and slide.
  3. The bottom WPA play of the day for either team belonged to Willson Contreras, who hit into an inning ending double play in the 8th in a tie game.

Next up: John Lackey takes on Brandon Woodruff at 6:35 PM CT

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  3. dmick89

    I know KB won’t win the MVP this season, but he’s 3rd in fWAR at 6.4 behind Anthony Rendon (6.7) and Giancarlo Stanton (6.4). You could make a strong case for him, which is something Myles said a month or so ago and I dismissed at the time. If he finishes the season strong, he could lead the league in fWAR. He won’t have the traditional stats that will get him the award, but still, that’s impressive.

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  4. Myles

    dmick89:
    I know KB won’t win the MVP this season, but he’s 3rd in fWAR at 6.4 behind Anthony Rendon (6.7) and Giancarlo Stanton (6.4). You could make a strong case for him, which is something Myles said a month or so ago and I dismissed at the time. If he finishes the season strong, he could lead the league in fWAR. He won’t have the traditional stats that will get him the award, but still, that’s impressive.

    They always come crawling back.

    /smug

    If nobody had invented the RBI as a measurement of productivity, he’d be in the top 4 vote getters.

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  5. Myles

    To add to that, nobody in the NL has distanced themselves offensively (at least among those with 600 PA or more), so I lean towards the best defensive guy among those players and that’s Bryant clearly. Votto/Stanton are better with the stick but way worse offensively, and Blackmon is Coors-based. I don’t think Bryant has a clear MVP case, but it’s about as clear as everyone else save for RBI.

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  8. BVS

    Myles: If nobody had invented the RBI as a measurement of productivity, he’d be in the top 4 vote getters.

    I think we can pretty clearly blame this on Berselius. If Berselius had been more diligent in applying his math skills to baseball around the time RBI was invented, then we could have had computed statistics rather than count stats.

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  9. Myles

    BVS: I think we can pretty clearly blame this on Berselius. If Berselius had been more diligent in applying his math skills to baseball around the time RBI was invented, then we could have had computed statistics rather than count stats.

    No dinner for Berselius tonight, I think.

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  11. Ryno

    So the Cubs winning one of the next three games pretty much sticks a fork in the Brewers, for all intensive porpoises, right? If that happens, MIL would have to win out and hope CHC went 3-6.

    But if CHC only wins one of the next three, STL could become a legit threat if they put together a winning streak…

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  17. dmick89

    Ryno: So the Cubs winning one of the next three games pretty much sticks a fork in the Brewers, for all intensive porpoises, right? If that happens, MIL would have to win out and hope CHC went 3-6.

    That guarantees the Cubs leave Milwaukee with a 3.5 game lead or better against the Brewers with 7 to play. Depending on how St. Louis does over the next few games prior to their series with the Cubs, it’s very likely that would mean the end of the Brewers hopes of winning the division. Since the Cubs still have 4 in St. Louis, I could see a small path forward for them. As you said, they’d have to win out and the Cubs could go 3-4 and still tie.

    Ryno: But if CHC only wins one of the next three, STL could become a legit threat if they put together a winning streak…

    The Cardinals are 5 out the best the Cardinals could be is 4 out by the time that series starts in St. Louis. Considering they play the Brewers to end the season, the Cardinals would also have to win out.

    For what it’s worth, I’m not convinced the Brewers are trying to win the division. If they were, we’d have seen their best relievers last night. The fact they did not pitch (not a single one of their top relievers) indicated to me that the Brewers are already playing for the Wild Card. That’s the smart thing to do on their part. I think the Brewers gave up on trying the win the division after the Pirates came back against them on Wednesday.

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  19. dmick89

    Rice at school,

    Hader was available. He should have been pitching the 9th. Or if you wanted to wait, there was then again no excuse for him to not be pitching the 10th. That is, if the Brewers are more focused on winning the division. They shouldn’t be more focused on that in my opinion.

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  23. dmick89

    I think what some people mean by an “analytics type” as a manager is that they look to see what the splits of certain players are against lefties and righties. So basically what managers have been doing for 50 years.

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  24. cerulean

    Colonoscopy with no sedation —> done. No IV, no driver needed, no thousand-dollar bill from an anesthesiologist.

    You’re welcome, America.

    Also —> polyp-free.

    Thank you for not destroying my healthcare, America.

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  31. cerulean

    dmick89,

    You should try no sedation—I’m serious. It’s uncomfortable, but it is nothing near unbearable. I have had stomach cramps ten times worse. In fact, the prep was the hardest part. If you go in expecting discomfort but also knowing that others have experienced this discomfort and it was tolerable, you’ll do fine.

    But if you are concerned, they can stick an IV in and give you sedation if it becomes unbearable. Most Americans aren’t even given the option—they looked at me like I was crazy. But half of European colonoscopies are sedation-free. That’s why I was pretty confident that it would be fine.

    In fact, it was strangely validating—I have been dealing with sharp and arresting pain for the better part of my life and more recently a baseline ache and hypersensitivity to pain they call fibromyalgia. This was just another day in the life. I would put it at a three on the pain scale, spiking at times to five, maybe six. No big deal.

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  32. dmick89

    cerulean,

    I have a family history of colon cancer so my doctor suggested I get one at the age of 40, which was a few years ago. I waited a year until I did it and they actually did ask if I wanted sedation. I said yes and thankfully I don’t have to have another one for several more years. Maybe I’ll take your advice then, but if insurance pays for the sedation, I’ll probably take it.

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  34. cerulean

    dmick89,

    Good to hear you are clear for awhile. Family history sucks. My dad needed an emergency colectomy at the age of 44—his GP said he had hemorrhoids causing his bloody stools, the asshole—so it was recommended I start at 35, no later than 40—I’m 37. Both of my grandfathers died of cancer that probably started in the colon. Good times. Cancer is my new favorite. :shitsrainbows:

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  48. Rizzo the Rat

    Third straight time a Cubs starter has been having trouble getting a strikeout against a team that leads its league in striking out.

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  66. Author
    berselius

    dmick89:
    I have no problem with Braun.

    I mean, I have a problem with him getting up on a high horse to ruin some guy’s career over the integrity of the testing program, then getting busted a few weeks later.

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