Diamondbacks @ Cubs

Just the numbers from now on. RS equals Runs Saved on defense.

Diamondbacks wOBA wRC RS Cubs wOBA wRC RS
Willie Bloomquist .296 .409 -0.13 Kosuke Fukudome .343 .602 -0.06
Chris Young
.339 .571 0.00 Starlin Castro .332 .545 -0.03
Kelly Johnson .360 .650 -0.01 Marlon Byrd .338 .564 -0.01
Justin Upton .381 .712 0.03 Aramis Ramirez .350 .594 -0.03
Miguel Montero .339 .537 -0.01 Tyler Colvin .318 .457 0.00
Melvin Mora .313 .426 -0.15 Alfonso Soriano .339 .521 -0.10
Juan Miranda .333 .486 0.00 Geovany Soto .362 .591 -0.01
Gerardo Parra .327 .457 -0.03 Blake DeWitt .321 .436 -0.03
Armando Galarraga .175 .000 0.00 Ryan Dempster .175 .000 0.00
4.2 -.3 4.3 -0.26

Both defenses kind of suck.

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Armando Galarraga 5.83 5.19
Ryan Dempster 6.23 3.95
Bullpens xFIP
Diamondbacks 3.27
Cubs 3.86

Huge advantage here for the Cubs.

Runs

Cubs: 5.8
Diamondbacks: 5.0

Win Probability

Cubs, 61.4%


185 thoughts on “Diamondbacks @ Cubs”

  1. As we discussed last year’s team would have folded up after blowing that lead. This year’s is different.

    Check out Chicago sports coverage at SB Nation Chicago
    by Al Yellon on Apr 5, 2011 8:16 PM CDT up reply actions

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  2. Sure. Probably too early to tell definitively. But it’s clear last year’s team would have folded after the D’backs tied the score.

    Check out Chicago sports coverage at SB Nation Chicago
    by Al Yellon on Apr 5, 2011 8:43 PM CDT up reply actions
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    Got that? It’s CLEAR.

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  3. This is aburd

    “According to STATS, Starlin has swung at 34 pitches this season and has yet to miss.”

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  4. It puts the lotion in the basket.

    That’s one of the best lines in movie history, which unlike sports history still exists.

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  5. Can we reasonably expect Cashner to return the next two months and be completely healthy? Rotator Cuff anythings scare the shit out of me. Wonder how this is going to affect him long-term.

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  6. [quote name=mb21]It puts the lotion in the basket.

    That’s one of the best lines in movie history, which unlike sports history still exists.[/quote]
    We should rebrand as a movie blog.

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  7. Wells has a strained right forearm, which he felt Tuesday, the day after his start, while Cashner has a mild strain in the back of his right rotator cuff. Both had MRIs, and the good news is that neither has structural damage in their arms.

    Perhaps I don’t know what structural damage means, but a strain is a tear. That would seem to be structural damage to me. If there’s one thing that pisses me off about MLB teams it’s how they thrown strain and tear around as if they mean two entirely different things. A grade 1 strain/tear is when only a small number of the muscle fibers are stretched or torn (damaged in some way).

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  8. [quote name=Rodrigo Ramirez]Can we reasonably expect Cashner to return the next two months and be completely healthy? Rotator Cuff anythings scare the shit out of me. Wonder how this is going to affect him long-term.[/quote]I wouldn’t count on any production from Cashner this season. Shoulder injuries suck.

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  9. [quote name=Aisle424]We should rebrand as a movie blog.[/quote]Absolutely, but only if Alien Porn Files 3 is included.

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  10. [quote name=mb21]I wouldn’t count on any production from Cashner this season. Shoulder injuries suck.[/quote]
    You’re ruining my optimism.

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  11. [quote name=mb21]Absolutely, but only if Alien Porn Files 3 is included.[/quote]
    I still haven’t seen Alien Porn Files 2. I need to catch up.

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  12. Quade helping my optimism:

    “In this day and age when you hear about people who get shut down for a year, this could be a lot worse,” Quade said. “I’m expecting three, four weeks and we’re back in action, and that’s a lot better than three or four months.”

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  13. But if you haven’t gone to Wrigley in recent years, either because you couldn’t score tickets or they were too expensive, here’s your opportunity to see a game from a good seat without breaking the bank.

    Good point.

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  14. [quote name=mb21]It doesn’t seem like a good idea to me for the defense to not call any witnesses.[/quote]
    I haven’t been following closely but from the blog posts written by Iracane and Calcaterra, there’s really no point for the defense to call anybody because the prosecution can’t prove anything, except maybe that Bonds was injected with something that may or may not have been steroids. The only witness the defense would probably call is Bonds himself.

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  15. [quote name=24601]The time for me to make my escape has arrived.[/quote]
    Where will you go? You don’t have papers.

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  16. [quote name=Rice Cube]I haven’t been following closely but from the blog posts written by Iracane and Calcaterra, there’s really no point for the defense to call anybody because the prosecution can’t prove anything, except maybe that Bonds was injected with something that may or may not have been steroids. The only witness the defense would probably call is Bonds himself.[/quote]From the sounds of it, he’ll be convicted on one charge and acquitted on the other.

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  17. [quote name=Stuart Turkeylink](funny gif stolen from other site)

    Oh, I’m so funny! HA HA HA

    False.[/quote]
    Well that about sums it up.

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  18. [quote name=mb21]From the sounds of it, he’ll be convicted on one charge and acquitted on the other.[/quote]
    I forgot how many charges they were bringing, but it sounds like the prosecution had to drop a few and the only thing they can show is that Bonds was injected, but they cannot prove that something was a steroid.

    Waste of time and money.

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  19. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]Almost time for baseball hope demps rebounds[/quote]I don’t think he pitched that poorly last time out. He was unlucky and made a couple huge mistakes, but other than that it was OK.

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  20. [quote name=Suburban Kid]Another barren seatscape.[/quote]I don’t think we can just say this is because it’s early in the season. It hasn’t been anywhere near this empty at this point in the season the last few years.

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  21. [quote name=mb21]I don’t think we can just say this is because it’s early in the season. It hasn’t been anywhere near this empty at this point in the season the last few years.[/quote]Correct.

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  22. The first homestand for the Cubs in 2010 averaged about 39,000 in attendance. It’s about 30,000 this year depending on the attendance today, which looks to be the smallest crowd of the season.

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  23. In 2008 they played 6 at home from March 31st to April 6th. They played 3 against the Brewers and Astros. They averaged 40,000. Same time of the year as this year and they’re a good 10,000 under what they sold to begin the year in 2008.

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  24. About 34,000 or so the first 6 games at home in 2007 (that was after the ridiculously awful 2006 season). About 37,000 in each of 2005 and 2006. 40,000 in 2004. Roughly 31,000 in 2003 (following miserable 2002 season). About 28,000 in 2002. A little bit worse in 2001.

    Attendance so far this season has been as bad as it was to open the year in 2001 and 2002.

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  25. [quote name=mb21]I don’t think he pitched that poorly last time out. He was unlucky and made a couple huge mistakes, but other than that it was OK.[/quote]
    Totally agree. Until the 6th he was good..

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  26. in 2001 and 2002 the Cubs averaged 34,000 in attendance. I think the Cubs are probably going to be a bit under that this year.

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  27. I think the empty seats are a good message to tommy boy that the product needs to bs better

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  28. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]I am fed up with chris young[/quote]Yeah, I haven’t liked him since he got in that swinging contest with Derrek Lee.

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  29. [quote name=Muck Muckintuck]Yeah, I haven’t liked him since he got in that swinging contest with Derrek Lee.[/quote]
    That was pathetic to watch

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  30. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]That was pathetic to watch[/quote]yeah it was. They looked like 2 old people fucking.

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  31. [quote name=Berselius]Wrong Chris Young.[/quote]
    No.. Chris young (p) fought d lee
    Chris young (cf) has robbed both dme and kosuke today

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  32. [quote name=Mish]Hellickson with 10Ks thru 5.1 IP. Bossman puts the Rays on the board, down 2-1 now.[/quote]
    Yeah, picking up Hellickson late round for the fantasy team is looking pretty good now.

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  33. [quote name=Suburban Kid]If Ricketts has outlawed the softball jerseys, that’s one thing he got right.[/quote]
    Fuck you.

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  34. Anybody else notice how many balls are getting into the outfield this year as singles? It’s been every game. Does the infield defense suck ass? That’s the only explanation for it.

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  35. [quote name=Sam]Yeah, picking up Hellickson late round for the fantasy team is looking pretty good now.[/quote]
    Yeah I targeted him but he got snatched up before I could get him (I’m sure the fact that I’m a vocal Rays fans let competitors know I might try and grab him early).

    98 pitches, 10 Ks. 2 BBs, 2 Rs. A pretty great first start.

    And of course, the reliever gives up a double Mathis of all people, Rays down 3-1.

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  36. [quote name=Sam]God, the Cubs line-up is awful. Without Pena in there it’s a team full of 6-7-8 hitters.[/quote]the funny thing is that this is about as good a lineup as the Cubs will run out there this year. Other than Pena, this is it.

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  37. (funny gif stolen from other site)

    Oh, I’m so funny! HA HA HA

    False.

    [quote name=Jame Gumb]Is Dick Cheese lurking?[/quote]
    Dick McCheesedoodle would definitely not write the above post. I mean, the love of clipart is definitely funny, but he would never use the language given above.

    On a side note, a sampling of results from a Google of “mild rotator cuff strain”:

    John Maine – 2008 – DL – then returned – then back on DL – then had a bone spur removed from his shoulder in December.

    Dice-K – 2008 – DL – then returned and pitched marvelously the rest of the way.

    Jonathan Sanchez – 2008 – DL – then returned and pitched ‘ok’ (but at least not injured).

    I’m not suggesting each case is the same, but it appears more likely than not he will return healthy at the completion of the 15 Days. On the downside, this greatly increases his probability for future shoulder injury.

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  38. Willie bloomquisst =====> more steals than every cub combined…

    I dont think we will steal 20

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  39. CD, I’d agree with your last part there. I’m not that worried about Cashner returning soon after the DL stint is over. It’s the additional wear and tear he’s going to put it on it that has me worried for his future.

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  40. [quote name=Sam]Also, does anyone else find it near unbelievable that Willie Bloomquist is starting at SS for the D-Backs?[/quote]
    He’s just filling in for Drew, right?

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  41. [quote name=Sam]Sweet, here come the boo birds for Soriano again.[/quote]
    Nobody will mention that Byrd never should have let it get past him in the first place.

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  42. [quote name=Aisle424]I’ve heard Bob (and I think Keith) mention that the infield grass is very short this year.[/quote]That doesn’t make sense to me. You cut the grass short to take advantage of your team speed on offense. The Cubs have none. Aramis Ramirez is the fastest player on the team not named Starlin Castro. Yes, I’m joking, but it’s pretty close to the truth.

    I was looking over the early season Defensive Runs Saved, which are about useless through 5 games, but Barney and Castro are -5 combined. They’re taking a huge hit with all those balls going into the outfield. Maybe it’s the grass. Maybe it’s just a fluke, but if that many balls scoot into the outfield this year the Cubs pitching isn’t going to look nearly as impressive as we thought it might be.

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  43. [quote name=mb21]CD, I’d agree with your last part there. I’m not that worried about Cashner returning soon after the DL stint is over. It’s the additional wear and tear he’s going to put it on it that has me worried for his future.[/quote]
    Not trying to be a dick mb but whats the solution?

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  44. [quote name=dylanj]that was my question md- its a mild strain/tear. so do those actually heal up with time?[/quote]Yes, but scar tissue rows over the tear. Sometimes the scar tissue is as strong, if not stronger than the actual muscle. Most of the time it’s a bit weaker making future injuries more likely.

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  45. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]Not trying to be a dick mb but whats the solution?[/quote]I don’t think there is. I think you just take your chance and accept that he’s a pitcher and pitchers get injured. Nothing more you can do other than making sure he’s completely healthy before he starts throwing.

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  46. [quote name=Aisle424]Nobody will mention that Byrd never should have let it get past him in the first place.[/quote]Did Len or Bob mention it?

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  47. I don’t know, bd. He was about 30 feet away from the ball when he dove. He literally had no chance to make the play. Just trying to be a hero and Soriano ends up being the goat.

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  48. [quote name=mb21]That doesn’t make sense to me. You cut the grass short to take advantage of your team speed on offense. The Cubs have none. Aramis Ramirez is the fastest player on the team not named Starlin Castro. Yes, I’m joking, but it’s pretty close to the truth.

    I was looking over the early season Defensive Runs Saved, which are about useless through 5 games, but Barney and Castro are -5 combined. They’re taking a huge hit with all those balls going into the outfield. Maybe it’s the grass. Maybe it’s just a fluke, but if that many balls scoot into the outfield this year the Cubs pitching isn’t going to look nearly as impressive as we thought it might be.[/quote]
    I don’t understand it either. The Cubs infield has always been one of the longest, thickest infields in the majors and now all of a sudden it’s cut short? It’s not even a change in groundskeepers or anything. All I can figure is someone fucked up cutting the grass by accident and they had to even it out and it resulted in it being super short.

    Otherwise, I have no theory.

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  49. [quote name=mb21]I don’t think there is. I think you just take your chance and accept that he’s a pitcher and pitchers get injured. Nothing more you can do other than making sure he’s completely healthy before he starts throwing.[/quote]
    Is this one of those injuries that h ev needs to tear the fuck out of it before it has any chance to get better?

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  50. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]That was such a bone headed decision by byrd… Was it oficailly ruled homerun?[/quote]
    Triple and an error.

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  51. I don’t understand the grass being short either, but it hasn’t resulted in more hits for the Cubs. Then again, the Cubs have no speed whatsoever. They could take out the grass and replace it with ice and the Cubs would still not have any more hits. (dying laughing)

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  52. [quote name=bubblesdachimp]That was such a bone headed decision by byrd… Was it oficailly ruled homerun?[/quote]
    Triple and error on Soriano. I assume there will be video but I didn’t see it live.

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  53. I am currently suspended from the ceiling with a broom handle inserted and a Romanian priest tazing my nipples, Chuck. And each time he zaps me, I reproduce a little onto myself.

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  54. Eh, the thing about the grass had something to do with the harsh winter. Len said it won’t be kept this short.

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  55. If byrd doesnt dive does he have any chance @bloomquisy @home..

    Starlin just swung and missed at his first pitch all year

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  56. How is that bullshit? He couldn’t pick up the ball. At all. It’s a single if Byrd doesn’t dive, but it’s a triple if Soriano picks the ball up.

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  57. Have to rewatch it then but I was under the impression watching it that chris youn was going to score all the way

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  58. Whatever… the best part of the whole thing was Chris Young giving a high five to the bat boy and the bat boy trying to do it as discretely as possible.

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  59. Did the Cubs pitchers sign a contract that contractually obligates them to make bad players look good this year or what?

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  60. If I was Ryan Dempster, I’d just walk off the field right now. After the game I’d tell the media I’m going to save my arm until winning is an option, which would be after his contract is up.

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  61. [quote name=mb21]If I was Ryan Dempster, I’d just walk off the field right now. After the game I’d tell the media I’m going to save my arm until winning is an option, which would be after his contract is up.[/quote]Maybe he’ll play in the World Baseball Classic next time, then.

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  62. [quote name=Suburban Kid]A brick wall knocked the ball out of the fielder’s glove. I think I shall boo him.[/quote]
    Soriano again?

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  63. Yeah, Soriano. It wasn’t a bad play. It was hit very deep and into the ivy. Soriano tracked it nicely, but lost it when his glove hit the wall.

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  64. [quote name=mb21]Yeah, Soriano. It wasn’t a bad play. It was hit very deep and into the ivy. Soriano tracked it nicely, but lost it when his glove hit the wall.[/quote]
    I guess it could be argued that he should have made the play. I mean, Reed Johnson would’ve blasted right through the fledgling ivy and the brick wall and still would’ve maintained possession, right?

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  65. Casey Coleman was called up. They’ll figure out who to call up to take Cashner’s next start on Tuesday.

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  66. [quote name=mb21]So much for Tampa Bay being a surprise team this year. They’re D-O-N-E.[/quote]
    That’s what happens when you trade away an ace starter for unproven talent like that.

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  67. [quote name=GBTS]Just checked in, is Dempster tossing bp today?[/quote]Part that and part the fielders can’t field anything that’s not hit directly at them. I’ve seen more balls go through the SS/3B hole and 2B/1B hole his year than I saw all of last year. Unfortunately the Cubs haven’t found that hole yet.

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  68. Mark Riggins’ non-ironic mustache bugs the shit out of me. He looks like an early 1980s baseball card.

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  69. I’ll be disappointed if the Rays can’t contend for much of the year (I have them around 86-87 wins), but even if not, there’s a lot that I can at least look forward to. Hellickson’s rookie campaign, Jennings/Moore/Archer getting some big league time, etc. And of course, if they are out of it, I expect AF to make some moves at the deadline, dumping Manny/Damon, but also looking at trading James Shields, among others. Could net some more propsects.

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  70. So excited that minors starts tomorrow. Granted I only care about tennessee and peoria and lake on daytona but still I need some signs of hope

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  71. For those of you who have GameDay they’ve put up the replays for the two Soriano “goofs” and I just watched them. The first goof shouldn’t have been boo-worthy in my opinion, but the second goof where he couldn’t corral the ball while hitting the wall…I don’t know how hard he hit the wall, but that play could’ve been either-or. I wonder if they cheer him if he makes the catch.

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  72. Regarding the grass- it’s not that it’s been cut short, just that it’s been so cold in Chicago it hasn’t had a chance to grow. Where in normal years the weather in March and April has been a bit better.

    At least this is the explanation I heard from a Cubs rep., can’t remember who.

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  73. I am gonna be shocked if grabow ever throws a fastball that does not end up a souveneir

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  74. [quote name=Rodrigo Ramirez]Regarding the grass- it’s not that it’s been cut short, just that it’s been so cold in Chicago it hasn’t had a chance to grow. Where in normal years the weather in March and April has been a bit better.

    At least this is the explanation I heard from a Cubs rep., can’t remember who.[/quote]Thanks. I guess my question is why are the opposing teams getting 30 hits per game through the infield while the Cubs can’t?

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  75. [quote name=mb21]Thanks. I guess my question is why are the opposing teams getting 30 hits per game through the infield while the Cubs can’t?[/quote]
    Non-porous defenses?

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  76. [quote name=mb21]Thanks. I guess my question is why are the opposing teams getting 30 hits per game through the infield while the Cubs can’t?[/quote]
    Maybe the Cubs are bad at setting their defenses.

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  77. [quote name=Aisle424]Maybe the Cubs are bad at setting their defenses.[/quote]
    Or bad at pitching to where the defense is set.

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  78. [quote name=Aisle424]Maybe the Cubs are bad at setting their defenses.[/quote]

    You’d think their stat guy would have something simple like spray charts for opposing hitters.

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  79. [quote name=Aisle424]Or bad at pitching to where the defense is set.[/quote]
    Or just plain bad at every aspect of defense.

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  80. [quote name=Aisle424]Maybe the Cubs are bad at setting their defenses.[/quote]That could be. I hadn’t thought about that, but it makes perfect sense.

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  81. [quote name=Aisle424]Soriano literally has to hit a homerun in every at-bat for people to not hate him.[/quote]It’s like Zambrano too. No-hitter, shutout or booed.

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  82. [quote name=Aisle424]Or bad at pitching to where the defense is set.[/quote]Hadn’t thought of that either and it might make even more sense. The pitchers the Cubs have do not have great control so that makes sense.

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  83. [quote name=Aisle424]Soriano literally has to hit a homerun in every at-bat for people to not hate him.[/quote]
    Basically. Never mind that he has had a bunch of clutch hits so far this season.

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  84. [quote name=mb21]It’s like Zambrano too. No-hitter, shutout or booed.[/quote]Reed Johnson has it pretty rough, too. Walk, strike out, single, double, triple, homer, ground out, fly out, line out, reach on error, reach on fielders choice, sacrifice bunt, sacrifice fly, or get booed.

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  85. [quote name=Aisle424]Maybe the Cubs are bad at setting their defenses.[/quote][quote name=Aisle424]Or bad at pitching to where the defense is set.[/quote]This seems like something a manger would have taken care of in ST. Supposing that said manager had the first clue what he was doing.

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  86. [quote name=Aisle424]Soriano literally has to hit a homerun in every at-bat for people to not hate him.[/quote][quote name=mb21]It’s like Zambrano too. No-hitter, shutout or booed.[/quote]One of these two, likely whichever has the worse season, will be scapegoated for the Cubs’s terrible 2011 season.

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  87. [quote name=Rice Cube]Last chance…Geo’s slow start annoys me but I hope he keeps finding himself in the lineup.[/quote]Doesn’t he still have an OBP north of .350?

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  88. [quote name=GBTS]Reed Johnson has it pretty rough, too. Walk, strike out, single, double, triple, homer, ground out, fly out, line out, reach on error, reach on fielders choice, sacrifice bunt, sacrifice fly, or get booed.[/quote]
    Nobody will ever boo Reed. No cubs fans aren’t jealous of his contract apparently. Just Soriano’s.

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  89. [quote name=GBTS]Reed Johnson has it pretty rough, too. Walk, strike out, single, double, triple, homer, ground out, fly out, line out, reach on error, reach on fielders choice, sacrifice bunt, sacrifice fly, or get booed.[/quote]
    Don’t forget catcher’s interference.

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  90. [quote name=Mercurial Outfielder]Doesn’t he still have an OBP north of .350?[/quote]
    I think so, but when’s the last time the Cubs actually valued OBP?

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  91. [quote name=Rice Cube]I think so, but when’s the last time the Cubs actually valued OBP?[/quote]They’re on it. Ari Kaplan just had a big presentation to the Cub FO on how, technically, it’s not really a percentage.

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  92. [quote name=Rice Cube]I think so, but when’s the last time the Cubs actually valued OBP?[/quote]Shut me right up.

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  93. [quote name=Rice Cube]I think so, but when’s the last time the Cubs actually valued OBP?[/quote]
    .313. He has only walked once so far this season. Let’s hope he still is as patient as last season.

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  94. [quote name=GBTS]They’re on it. Ari Kaplan just had a big presentation to the Cub FO on how, technically, it’s not really a percentage.[/quote]I thought the highlight of that presentation was the breakdown of why OBP should not be valued in games occurring on the second Thursday of months ending in “y” and years ending in “1.”

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  95. [quote name=Hector Villanueva ].313. He has only walked once so far this season. Let’s hope he still is as patient as last season.[/quote]Quade has already determined which pitches he will swing at for the next two weeks.

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  96. [quote name=GBTS]They’re on it. Ari Kaplan just had a big presentation to the Cub FO on how, technically, it’s not really a percentage.[/quote]I presume his source was a leading sports blog’s executive editor and chairman in chief.

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  97. [quote name=Hector Villanueva ].313. He has only walked once so far this season. Let’s hope he still is as patient as last season.[/quote]Ugh. Something tells me Jaramillo’s free-swinging approach is beginning to take hold.

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