Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs

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Dodgers wOBA wRC RS Cubs wOBA wRC RS
Jamey Carroll .306 .42 -.02 Kosuke Fukudome .342 .56 -.06
Casey Blake .321 .47 -.01 Darwin Barney .293 .36 .03
Andre Ethier .368 .62 -.01 Starlin Castro .332 .50 -.03
Matt Kemp .342 .52 -.02 Aramis Ramirez .350 .54 -.03
Juan Uribe .326 .45 .01 Carlos Pena .378 .62 -.01
James Loney .335 .46 .00 Marlon Byrd .338 .48 -.01
Jerry Sands .282 .28 .00 Alfonso Soriano .339 .46 -.10
A.J. Ellis .310 .36 -.04 Geovany Soto .362 .52 .00
Chad Billingsley .175 .00 .00 Casey Coleman .175 .00 .00
3.6 -.1 4.1 -.2

 

Starting Pitcher IP/GS FIP
Chad Billingsley 6.28 3.30
Casey Coleman 5.49 5.14
Bullpens xFIP
Dodgers 4.39
Cubs 3.84

Score: Dodgers 4.7, Cubs 3.9
Win Probability: 45.4%


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Comments

  1. Doogolas

    Just so everybody knows:

    Castro is a free-swinger, taking a cut at about 4% more pitches than league average, but he’s improved his pitch recognition from last season. In 2010, Castro was swinging at 32% of pitches outside the zone (3% worse than average), and this season he’s cut that down to 29.5%. While not a huge change, it’s a small step in the right direction and gives hope that Castro might learn to increase his low walk rate (3.6% BB%) going forward.

    So, yeah, Castro owns life. 🙂

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  2. Mucker

    [quote name=mb21]It’s starting right now, Muck. I was just beating everyone else to it today. (dying laughing)[/quote](dying laughing) That’s what I figured.

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  3. James Doakes

    [quote name=mb21]It’s starting right now, Muck. I was just beating everyone else to it today. (dying laughing)[/quote]
    Stat geek my ass. Fuckin’ weirdo.

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  4. mb21

    [quote name=Muck Muckintuck]Pena has 1 extra base hit all season? That’s terrible.[/quote]He’s been awful and it has nothing to do with BABIP either.

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  5. Mucker

    [quote name=mb21]He’s been awful and it has nothing to do with BABIP either.[/quote]I know it’s early still but damn.

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  6. mb21

    [quote name=Muck Muckintuck]I know it’s early still but damn.[/quote]It’s starting to seem like last year wasn’t so much a down year and that perhaps we shouldn’t be expecting him to rebound much. I still think it’s too early for that, but he’s sucked for a long time now.

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  7. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Cliffy]Anyody else like the way Coleman pitches? It seems like he has good make up for a pitcher.[/quote]
    He’s a third generation MLBer, so part of it is genetic.

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  8. mb21

    [quote name=Cliffy]Anyody else like the way Coleman pitches? It seems like he has good make up for a pitcher.[/quote]I think there’s some potential there. I thin he’s more than capable of being at the back of the rotation and providing some value for awhile.

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  9. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Way to pitch 65 pitches in one inning and give up no runs![/quote]It’s worked for Carlos Zambrano for 3 years. (dying laughing)

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  10. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Way to pitch 65 pitches in one inning and give up no runs![/quote]
    31. nice snark

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  11. Rice Cube

    The Cubs are tops in the majors in K/9 at 8.94, but 3rd worst in BB/9 at 3.99. Lots of Ks and lots of BBs would add up to a shitload of pitches thrown.

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  12. Mucker

    If this was a team like 08, I’d be more excited about Barney because he would have been extra production in the 8th slot. But since they suck and he’s batting 2nd, I can’t get to excited.

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  13. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Rice Cube]Why didn’t Kosuke swing at anything? Is the strike zone that bad?[/quote]Strike three was right down the middle. He wasn’t expecting a strike, I guess.

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  14. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Strike three was right down the middle. He wasn’t expecting a strike, I guess.[/quote]
    Brenly said he was thinking too much when he really meant guessing.

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  15. Lukas

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Brenly said he was thinking too much when he really meant guessing.[/quote]
    It seemed like Dome realized Billingsley was working fast, so he was trying to get him to throw more pitches. It backfired on him. (dying laughing)

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  16. Rice Cube

    And now the Cubs fans are cursing Fukudome because of his overpatience. It’s a way of [L]ife.

    I’m not really cursing him, just surprised that he didn’t swing at a meatball.

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  17. mb21

    Why did I never notice Castro’s open stance this season? We’re almost a month into the season and I notice Castro is now rocking the Derrek Lee stance. (dying laughing)

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  18. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Hasn’t Kosuke gone down looking more than any other cub the last few years?[/quote]
    Except maybe Soto.

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  19. mb21

    [quote name=Muck Muckintuck]Gameday sucks this year. The ball/strike system is terrible. The show strikes as balls and balls as strikes.[/quote]I hate the new one. Every time I see a pitch coming from just under the scoreboard I get pissed. Then I notice that the batter is as tall as the scoreboard.

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  20. Horny Goat

    [quote name=mb21]Why did I never notice Castro’s open stance this season? We’re almost a month into the season and I notice Castro is now rocking the Derrek Lee stance. (dying laughing)[/quote]
    get your head out of the spread sheets and watch the games (dying laughing)

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  21. mb21

    Was Castro’s new stance discussed in spring training and I just missed it? Seems odd such a change would have been made after a successful season, but it’s working so far.

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  22. mb21

    [quote name=Horny Goat]get your head out of the spread sheets and watch the games (dying laughing)[/quote](dying laughing) I never heard about it. I didn’t see anybody mention it and I didn’t notice it until today. Weird.

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  23. Mucker

    [quote name=mb21]I hate the new one. Every time I see a pitch coming from just under the scoreboard I get pissed. Then I notice that the batter is as tall as the scoreboard.[/quote]It’s kind of cool that they show the stadium but the functionality of it is terrible.

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  24. Dr. Aneus Taint

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Hasn’t Kosuke gone down looking more than any other cub the last few years?[/quote]
    Well it’s harder when you don’t look.

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  25. Rice Cube

    The classic Gameday is better because it allows you to check the pitches in previous at-bats. When I checked Kosuke’s just now it seemed that strikes 2 and 3 were very borderline but he probably still should’ve swung if they were that close.

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  26. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Marlon Byrd is 10 pounds heavier this year. How come we haven’t discussed that?[/quote]
    Because it’s all heart.

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  27. Berselius

    [quote name=mb21]I hate the new one. Every time I see a pitch coming from just under the scoreboard I get pissed. Then I notice that the batter is as tall as the scoreboard.[/quote]
    I’m not a fan of how mlb audio is automatically integrated into it. I’ve always used Yahoo to keep tabs on a game. Plus you get the in-gameday ads that are annoying. You can detach the audio but more clicks = annoying. IIRC it also doesn’t turn off the audio when you launch mlb.tv from it.

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  28. Dr. Aneus Taint

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Marlon Byrd is 10 pounds heavier this year. How come we haven’t discussed that?[/quote]
    Because we’re not TMZ?

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  29. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Marlon Byrd is 10 pounds heavier this year. How come we haven’t discussed that?[/quote]Considering how well I notice things, I would have noticed his weight gain in 3 years.

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  30. Berselius

    [quote name=mb21]Considering how well I notice things, I would have noticed his weight gain in 3 years.[/quote]
    Hey, did you see Soto’s recent weight loss? It was right before the 2008 season (dying laughing)

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  31. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Berselius]more clicks = annoying. [/quote]It was better when Ronald Reagan faked the PBP from the studio on WHO.

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  32. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Marlon Byrd is 10 pounds heavier this year. How come we haven’t discussed that?[/quote]
    we don’t discuss great big fat persons.

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  33. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]It was better when Ronald Reagan faked the PBP from the studio on WHO.[/quote]
    Vaudeville was good times too.

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  34. Lukas

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Dodgers broadcasters ripping Soriano for not hustling.[/quote]
    It’s ok the Cubs fans were probably booing him anyway.

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  35. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Lukas]It’s ok the Cubs fans were probably booing him anyway.[/quote]I think that’s what tipped them off.

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  36. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Horny Goat]odds of scoring here—–> 100%[/quote]
    This must be from a run expectancy table specially tailored for the Cubs.

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  37. Xoomwaffle

    The Nasty Factor evaluates several properties of each pitch, and rates the “nastiness” of the pitch on a scale from 0-100, based in part on the success or failure of opposing hitters against previous similar pitches. The Nasty Factor incorporates several different factors for each pitch, including: Velocity — The greater the pitch’s velocity — as compared to that pitcher’s and the league’s range of speed for that pitch type — the greater the nastiness; Sequence — The more the pitcher mixes up his pitches, the greater the nastiness… and certain pitch sequences are nastier than others, too; Location — The closer to the edges of the strike zone is, the greater the nastiness, while pitches closer to the middle of the plate, and farther away outside the strike zone, decrease in nastiness; Movement — The more movement the pitcher applies to the pitch — as compared to that pitcher’s and the league’s range of movement for that pitch type — the greater the nastiness. The Nasty Factor also adjusts for how often the pitcher has faced the current batter during the game, as well as how often he has used the same pitch type against the same batter in the current at-bat and previously in the game.

    This is all I keep finding on Nasty Factor. I have not seen anywhere where they attach number to these.

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  38. Berselius

    [quote name=Xoomwaffle]This is all I keep finding on Nasty Factor. I have not seen anywhere where they attach number to these.[/quote]
    Where is this from? Is it one of those bullshit Carson Cistulli creations?

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  39. Mucker

    [quote name=Xoomwaffle]This is all I keep finding on Nasty Factor. I have not seen anywhere where they attach number to these.[/quote]It’s on Gameday where they show the result, pitch speed, pitch type, and NF(nasty factor)

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  40. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]RF bleacher boxes —————————> totally empty.[/quote]
    they usually are pretty empty

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  41. Xoomwaffle

    [quote name=Berselius]Where is this from? Is it one of those bullshit Carson Cistulli creations?[/quote]
    It’s just from mlb.com’s gameday feature explanation.

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  42. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Brenly making excuse for Coleman. Z didn’t have a problem in cold weather.[/quote]
    It was colder for Z’s start.

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  43. GBTS

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Although, I wouldn’t want to hear Ron’s call of this inning. (dying laughing)[/quote](dying laughing) I totally would.

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  44. mb21

    It doesn’t really matter who comes in. If I was Quade I’d just have various position players pitch today. Next inning it’s Ramirez then Soriano, Castro, Pena, and just for fun, in the 9th, Soto pitches to Soto. Good times. I’d keep watching if they did that.

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  45. Rice Cube

    [quote name=mb21]It doesn’t really matter who comes in. If I was Quade I’d just have various position players pitch today. Next inning it’s Ramirez then Soriano, Castro, Pena, and just for fun, in the 9th, Soto pitches to Soto. Good times. I’d keep watching if they did that.[/quote]
    If they cloned Soto they could have them morooning at both C and 1B. I am in favor of this idea.

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  46. Lukas

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]With such a small crowd, you can hear the individual boos of various fans.[/quote]
    Hopefully that makes those people feel even dumber when they realize their the only one booing in the section (dying laughing)

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  47. Corms

    [quote name=Horny Goat]has there been good weather in wrigley yet this year? (dying laughing)[/quote]Sure, once or twice when the Cubs were on the road.

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  48. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]With such a small crowd, you can hear the individual boos of various fans.[/quote]It’s also easier to spot Al’s stupid white hat up in the corner.

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  49. mb21

    What the fuck? Some dude just emailed Len and Bob asking them to email him a slice of pizza. That’s not even funny.

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  50. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]It’s also easier to spot Al’s stupid white hat up in the corner.[/quote]how do you know he wears a white hat?

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  51. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Ramirez never dives.

    Except when he wants to stop a terrible inning.[/quote]So that’s why I’ve seen him dive so often in a Cubs uniform.

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  52. Suburban kid

    [quote name=mb21]What the fuck? Some dude just emailed Len and Bob asking them to email him a slice of pizza. That’s not even funny.[/quote]Was it Nathan H.? I telling you, 12 years old.

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  53. Rice Cube

    [quote name=mb21]how do you know he wears a white hat?[/quote]
    Methunk that was what he wears in the forestgif.

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  54. Berselius

    [quote name=mb21]What the fuck? Some dude just emailed Len and Bob asking them to email him a slice of pizza. That’s not even funny.[/quote]
    He should have told them to fax it instead (dying laughing)

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  55. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Was it Nathan H.? I telling you, 12 years old.[/quote]Nathan H would think you’re a fun-sucker.

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  56. Suburban kid

    [quote name=mb21]how do you know he wears a white hat?[/quote]There’s an Al-shaped blob in the corner with a Cubbie blue jacket and a white hat.

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  57. mb21

    [quote name=Berselius]He should have told them to fax it instead (dying laughing)[/quote]Bob said they could fax it. It might have been amusing if the whole thing didn’t start because some dumbass asked Len and Bob to email them a slice of pizza.

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  58. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]There’s an Al-shaped blob in the corner with a Cubbie blue jacket and a white hat.[/quote]He has his own shape? (dying laughing)

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  59. mb21

    [quote name=Horny Goat]looks like I picked the wrong week to quit sniffing glue.[/quote]You’ll be glad to hear there’s never a bad week to start sniffing glue.

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  60. Suburban kid

    [quote name=mb21]He has his own shape? (dying laughing)[/quote]Somewhat gnome-like. Kinda pointy toward the top.

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  61. Suburban kid

    Speaking of pointy at the top, the Cubs really need to change the shape and color of the rain ponchos they sell. There’s a Klansman sitting right behind home plate.

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  62. mb21

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Speaking of pointy at the top, the Cubs really need to change the shape and color of the rain ponchos they sell. There’s a Klansman sitting right behind home plate.[/quote]That’s Tom Ricketts.

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  63. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Speaking of pointy at the top, the Cubs really need to change the shape and color of the rain ponchos they sell. There’s a Klansman sitting right behind home plate.[/quote]
    those should only be sold in the bleachers.

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  64. mb21

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Looks like I picked the wrong week to quit drinking.[/quote]You’re in luck. Every week is the right week to start again.

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  65. Dr. Aneus Taint

    [quote name=mb21]You’re in luck. Every week is the right week to start again.[/quote]
    Spoken like a true ex-addict.

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  66. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Suburban Kid]Coleman’s got nuthin'[/quote]
    Our only hope is to build this man up. We gotta give him all the confidence we can.

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  67. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Horny Goat]Our only hope is to build this man up. We gotta give him all the confidence we can.[/quote]”Well Casey, at least you’re not as putrid as James Russell.”

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  68. Dr. Aneus Taint

    [quote name=mb21]I’d forgotten about ex-addict.[/quote]
    He must have missed the class on addiction when he was taking the short bus to a nearby college for math.

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  69. Xoomwaffle

    I want to make a confession:

    Jeff Stevens, James Russel, Jeff Gray, Justin Berg, and Casey Coleman are the same person in my head.

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  70. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Xoomwaffle]I want to make a confession:

    Jeff Stevens, James Russel, Jeff Gray, Justin Berg, and Casey Coleman are the same person in my head.[/quote]
    Russell is left-handed.

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  71. Suburban kid

    [quote name=Xoomwaffle]I want to make a confession:

    Jeff Stevens, James Russel, Jeff Gray, Justin Berg, and Casey Coleman are the same person in my head.[/quote]I almost ran a fan poll combining all of them into one person last year.

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  72. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Rice Cube]Is it like a reverse TOOTBLAN if Marlon Byrd doesn’t get to second base on a passed ball?[/quote]
    Did the ball bounce weird or something? I can’t imagine any reason why Ramirez could score but Byrd couldn’t take an extra base, unless Byrd didn’t know the pitch got away or slipped or was picking his nose.

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  73. fight2win

    Hi!
    My name is Jeff Stevens! You may remember me from such situations as Walking the pitcher and 32foot curveball allstars!

    Where is Brian Schlitter when you need him!?

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  74. Rice Cube

    [quote name=fight2win]
    Where is Brian Schlitter when you need him!?[/quote]

    He’s in the john, taking a Schlitt.

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  75. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Horny Goat]no bobblehead day for Jeff Stevens.[/quote]
    They should bobble his arm instead. It’s probably Jello by now.

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  76. Rice Cube

    [quote name=Horny Goat]alright! 7 to tie, 8 to win.[/quote]
    Last year’s team would have folded right there, but this year’s team will score at least another run.

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  77. Horny Goat

    [quote name=Rice Cube]Last year’s team would have folded right there, but this year’s team will score at least another run.[/quote]
    It’s gonna happen

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  78. Horny Goat

    [quote name=melissa]4 straight singles, there’s just no quit in this team.[/quote]
    and you weren’t a Quade believer.

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  79. melissa

    [quote name=Corms]Note to Starlin: Don’t dive into first.[/quote]
    This. Leave that maneuver to the gritty white guys.

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  80. fight2win

    Headline on Cubs.com saying that the Cubs are undecided about who makes the next start has me thinking Mr. Stevens is getting sent down and Thomas Diamond is going to get a callup

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  81. Horny Goat

    [quote name=fight2win]Headline on Cubs.com saying that the Cubs are undecided about who makes the next start has me thinking Mr. Stevens is getting sent down and Thomas Diamond is going to get a callup[/quote]
    that sucks. Stevens was just getting into a groove.

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  82. bubblesdachimp

    Bubbles wants to bring bjax up. The only thing buns is excited about is both cashner and wells threw today. I want to see cashner pitch again

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  83. mb21

    I haven’t been watching for awhile, but turn back just because. I want to add that Marcos Mateo sucks. He’s horrible.

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  84. Rice Cube

    [quote name=mb21]I haven’t been watching for awhile, but turn back just because. I want to add that Marcos Mateo sucks. He’s horrible.[/quote]
    Mateo is this year’s Caridad.

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  85. bubblesdachimp

    [quote name=mb21]I haven’t been watching for awhile, but turn back just because. I want to add that Marcos Mateo sucks. He’s horrible.[/quote]
    I feel like I am not going to pass judgment on relievers who have been overworked like none other

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  86. mb21

    It’s not like Mateo has been worked that hard though. The problem is he comes in when the game sucks and can’t even get someone out. That’s not on Quade. That’s Mateo’s problem.

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  87. Rice Cube

    I just saw the passed ball…it seems this game is so boring to the Gameday and scoreboard update people that they neglected to mention that Byrd actually made it to second base on the passed ball (hence my confusion) and they also didn’t state that Hill replaced Soto two innings ago.

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