Kris Bryant, Man: Cubs Minor League Recap 10/21/13

In Commentary And Analysis by myles34 Comments

Only 2 Cubs played. Kris Bryant is a good baseball player.

Kris Bryant: 1-2, 2 R, 2 BB, SO

  • Henry Urrutia grounds into a double play, third baseman Kris Bryant to first baseman C. J. Cron. Garin Cecchini out at 3rd.
  • Kris Bryant walks.
  • Kris Bryant strikes out swinging.
  • Kris Bryant walks.
  • Kris Bryant doubles (3) on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Mitch Haniger. Taylor Lindsey to 3rd.

Armando Rivero: 1 IP, 4 H, 2 R, 2 ER, BB, SO

  • Jorge Alfaro singles on a line drive to right fielder Tyler Collins.
  • Dariel Alvarez singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Zach Borenstein. Jorge Alfaro to 2nd.
  • Joe Wendle strikes out swinging.
  • Tyler Naquin walks. Jorge Alfaro to 3rd. Dariel Alvarez to 2nd.
  • Garin Cecchini singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyler Collins. Jorge Alfaro scores. Dariel Alvarez scores. Tyler Naquin to 2nd.
  • Mitch Haniger singles on a line drive to left fielder Zach Borenstein. Tyler Naquin to 3rd. Garin Cecchini to 2nd.
  • Henry Urrutia lines into an unassisted double play, first baseman C. J. Cron. Mitch Haniger doubled off 1st.

Prospects to Date

Albert Almora: 10-24, 4 2B, 3B, HR, 6 R, 8 RBI, BB, 2 SO, CS, 19 TB (.417/.440/.792), 4/10/8 FB/GB/LD

Dallas Beeler: 6 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 4 ER, 3 BB, 3 K

Kris Bryant 12-28, 3 ROE, 3 2B, 10 R, 4 HR, 12 RBI, 4 BB, 7 SO, SF, 2 SB, E, 27 TB (.429/.485/.964), 10/7/5 FB/GB/LD

Lendy Castillo 4 IP, 7 H, 4 R, 1 ER, 2 BB, 2 SO, 1 WP, 2.25 ERA, 9.00 R/9, 2/8/5 FB/GB/LD

Wes Darvill 3-12, 1 R, HR, 2 RBI, 2 BB, 2 K, 6 TB (.250/.357/.500) 1/6/3 FB/GB/LD

Matt Loosen 5.1 IP, 6 H, 4 R, 2 ER, BB, 4 SO, 3.38 ERA, 6.75 R/9, 4/5/6 FB/GB/LD

Armando Rivero 5 IP, 9 H, 5 R, 4 ER, 4 SO, 2 BB, 7.20 ERA, 9.00 R/9, 4/3/6 FB/GB/LD

Jorge Soler 8-35, 3 2B, 5 R, 5 RBI, 9 SO, 11 TB(.229/.229/.314), 2/14/9 FB/GB/LD

MEGAPROSPECT

Korbert Alyaner (core-birt all-yawn-air): 30-87, 3 ROE, 10 2B, 3B, 5 HR, 21 R, 25 RBI, 5 BB, 18 SO, E, SF, 2 SB, CS, 57 TB (.345/.376/.655)

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  3. dmick89

    since the Cubs are going to suck, I’m not entirely opposed to Kris Bryant starting at the MLB level. I don’t know that I’d advise it, but I’m not opposed.

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  4. Author
    Myles

    If that’s the case, then you might as well field the “dream-team” lineup:

    C: Castillo
    1B: Rizzo
    2B: Baez
    SS: Castro
    3B: Bryant
    LF: Lake
    CF: Alcantara (a man can dream)
    RF: Schierholtz

    And you put Soler and Almora at AA to start the year with a September call-up in mind.

    Butts in the seats, I’m telling you

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  5. dmick89

    @ Myles:
    If there’s any chance that Baez can play SS (any chance at all) I’d put him at SS and move Castro to CF or LF.

    I don’t think there would be any more butts in the seats with a future’s lineup. The ballpark will be packed early in the season no matter what. By the end of the year the Cubs will either be in contention or the newness will have worn off on those guys.

    I’m fine with starting Baez and Bryant at the MLB level. I probably wouldn’t start either of them there, but there are probably arguments to be made at this point that each could do it. More so for Baez, but I like Bryant more. I think you’ve got to send Alcantara to AAA.

    So if the Cubs were call an audible and start the year with Baez and Bryant on the MLB roster, I’d put Baez at SS and Castro in LF or 2nd base. That would come down to Barney or Castro. Bryant at 3rd. If Baez just can’t play SS, I’d move him to CF and Choo to LF.

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  7. Author
    Myles

    dmick89 wrote:

    @ Myles:
    I don’t think there would be any more butts in the seats with a future’s lineup. The ballpark will be packed early in the season no matter what. By the end of the year the Cubs will either be in contention or the newness will have worn off on those guys.

    Lots of people say this but it isn’t true. The average attendance at a Cubs game this year was 32,626. Regression analysis shows that attendance fell by an average of 15 fans a game, which is negligible. More importantly, it had an R Square of .007346, so there no correlation as to when a game occurs and what that games’ attendance is going to be.

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  10. Omar Little

    dmick89 wrote:

    I don’t think…any more butts…will be packed early in the season. By the end of the year…the newness will have worn off on those guys.

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  11. dmick89

    @ Myles:
    Paid attendance isn’t the issue as 424 has talked about before. It’s actual butts in the seats. Paid attendance at Wrigley is significantly higher than actual attendance late in the year when the team sucks. There weren’t 15,000 fans at some of the games in September. Maybe even less than 10,000 on occasion.

    Due to the high number of ticket sales prior to the season (some seasons recently have been sold out entirely before Opening Day minus a few tickets the team holds onto to sell later).

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  12. dmick89

    dmick89 wrote:

    Due to the high number of ticket sales prior to the season (some seasons recently have been sold out entirely before Opening Day minus a few tickets the team holds onto to sell later).

    Let me finish that sentence. Due to the… paid attendance isn’t a reflection of actual attendance late in the year. It’s not a reflection of the amount of interest.

    How many fans in 2010 were buying seats to watch Starlin Castro in September? Very few and he was having a good season. In May? A lot if tickets were available.

    A lot might buy tickets, if available, to see Javier Baez when he’s called up midseason, but by the end of the year, not many.

    For example, actual attendance sucked ass in September 2012. Anthony Rizzo was called up midseason that year. He had no impact on ticket sales in September. Nobody that wasn’t a die-hard fan was interested in seeing the Cubs live. If they wanted to watch Anthony Rizzo that September, they’d have done so from the comfort of their living room and they’d have watched only his at-bats.

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  13. dmick89

    Also, actual butts in the seats will affect all kinds of things from tv and radio deals to future ticket sales. Assuming the Cubs don’t go crazy this offseason, there will be fewer tickets sold prior to the start of the season than previous years. That’s because so few people who even paid to get a ticket were willing to show up and watch them at the end of the year.

    The season ticket holders make up a sizable chunk of the per-game attendance and the Cubs are fine there. There is, as 424 has said, going to be plenty of tickets sold per game simply because of that. Until the waiting list is gone, that will be true. You absolutely have to eliminate that chunk plus whatever tickets were sold prior to the start of the season if you want to know what the interest was in September. At the very least.

    We don’t know need to guess here though. We have two recent examples (three if you count Junior Lake who suddenly became worthy of being excited about to a large number of Cubs fans last year when he was called up). They did not by any means put more butts in the seats other than maybe right away. Once the new smell was gone, it had no meaningful impact on the number willing to show up. Little to none on ticket sales since those are pretty much taken care of in advance.

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  14. Aisle424

    dmick89 wrote:

    @ Myles:
    Paid attendance isn’t the issue as 424 has talked about before. It’s actual butts in the seats. Paid attendance at Wrigley is significantly higher than actual attendance late in the year when the team sucks. There weren’t 15,000 fans at some of the games in September. Maybe even less than 10,000 on occasion.
    Due to the high number of ticket sales prior to the season (some seasons recently have been sold out entirely before Opening Day minus a few tickets the team holds onto to sell later).

    This. The season ticket base is still around 25,000, so that’s 2 million sold before single game tickets even go on sale in February. The no-shows are the big factor late in the season and if the team sucks, Baez, Bryant or not, nobody will give a shit.

    They need to focus on putting these guys in the best position to succeed and the attendance will follow.

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  16. dmick89

    Aisle424 wrote:

    They need to focus on putting these guys in the best position to succeed and the attendance will follow.

    Yeah, though we were talking about a scenario which was highly unlikely. A bunch of ifs.

    The other thing is that it’s likely if all three were up at least one (maybe all of them) would have demoted at some point.

    The bottom line is that as far as butts in the seats goes in September at Wrigley, this is what is important. Castro didn’t put them there. Same with Rizzo and Lake. Neither will all three of Baez, Bryant and Alcantara. Especially if the team starts the year with them. If all three were called up in September, it might have a negligible affect on actual attendance.

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  18. Omar Little

    I can’t remember who asked me about the Vikings draft, but I have a change. After watching Freeman struggle last night, I think MIN might be out on Hundley.

    Hundley is a lot like Freeman, but smaller and faster. If Hundley started for MIN last night, the result would have been exactly the same. My bet is that MIN will avoid Hundley in the draft if they can’t make any progress with Freeman, since they’ll have similar issues with Hundley.

    At this point, I think the top 5 will look like this:

    1. JAX – Bridgewater
    2. MIN – Marcus Mariota, QB, Ore.
    3. NYG – Clowney
    4. TB – Anthony Barr, OLB, UCLA
    5. OAK – Jake Matthews, OT, aggy

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  20. Aisle424

    I’m not a draft expert in any way, but I guess I always assumed Clowney would be #1 and it wouldn’t be close? Am I just a victim of the hype machine?

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  25. Aisle424

    Berselius wrote:

    Lincecum ——> San Francisco Baseball Giants, 2/35

    Samardzija and his agent:

    [img]http://media.tumblr.com/fa2f59d80daf3c639d2507bc758723cd/tumblr_inline_ms5iynC4ZY1qz4rgp.gif[/img]

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  28. J

    They must think Lincecum has tremendous merchandise/marketing value to them. I would have expected more like 2/16 or at most 2/20. Wild overpay, bound to mess up negotiations all over.

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  29. cwolf

    @ J:
    Definitely seems like an overpay but I don’t know about it affecting negotiations all over, Giants re-signing him certainly has some marketing / merchandising value but they’ve been watching him pitch enough to see a good chance to a return to his earlier form (or something closer to it than 2012-2013) and a two year deal gamble on a somewhat over-pay seems like an OK shot for them to take.

    Samardzija might benefit from this signing but I hope Thoyer aren’t the ones to over-pay for it. I’m not anywhere near convinced that F7 is worth signing to a big$$$ long-term contract.

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