The Dodgers pitching is tops in the league, which is not a huge surprise, but their offense is way better than I would have guessed as well. They were fourth in the NL in offensive production last year, and are right there again in 2017. Turner, Grandal, and Seager are having big years as expected, but they are also getting great production from the likes of Chris Taylor and Cody Bellinger, who I don't think I heard of until this week. This team is pretty good when half the rotation isn't on the DL.
Team Leaders
Cubs
- OBP: Jon Jay (.413)
- ISO: Kris Bryant (.268)
- HR: Anthony Rizzo / Bryant (11)
- R+RBI: Bryant (56)
- wRC+: Bryant (151)
- BSR: Jon Jay (2.5)
- SP K/9: Jake Arrieta (9.77)
- SP BB/9: Arrieta (2.49)
- SP FIP: Jon Lester (3.08)
- RP K/9: Carl Edwards Jr (12.00)
- RP BB/9: Brian Duensing (1.71)
- RP FIP: Wade Davis (2.11)
- WAR: Bryant (1.8)
Dodgers
- OBP: Justin Turner (.453)
- ISO: Cody Bellinger (.333)
- HR: Bellinger (9)
- R+RBI: Corey Seager (55)
- wRC+: Chris Taylor (168)
- BSR: Turner (1.0)
- SP K/9: Alex Wood (11.47)
- SP BB/9: Kershaw (1.00)
- SP FIP: Wood (1.87)
- RP K/9: Kenley Jansen (16.50)
- RP BB/9: Jansen (0.00)
- RP FIP: Jansen (0.09)
- WAR: Turner/Kershaw (2.2)
Injuries, transactions, vengeance pacts, etc.
It wouldn't be the Dodgers without a long list of injuries. Most notably, Justin Turner is on the 10-day DL with a hamstring strain and should miss this series. Joc Pederson is on the concussion DL and will also be out for these games, though his replacements have been filling in just fine. Andrew Toles is out for the year with a torn ACL, and Andre Ethier is on the 60-day with a herniated disc. Scott Kazmir is on the DL, but it's probably better to report when he's not injured.
There is nothing too serious on the Cubs side right now. Willson is a little banged up after fouling a ball off his foot on Wednesday but I don't expect him to miss this series or anything.
Pitching probables
K%, BB%, ERA, projected ERA listed for each starter.
Friday: Jay Carrieta, RHP (24.8%, 6.3%, 4.80, 3.19) vs Alex Wood, LHP (29.9%, 7.5%, 10.88, 2.72), 9:10 PM CT
Wood has been incredible in seven starts this year, pretty much the only complaint that one could make is that he hasn't pitched deep into games. He has seen a big jump in his strikeout rate and his ground ball rate this year, and has even better numbers than his more famous teammate in several categories. He shut out the Marlins for 7.1 innings in his last outing.
Saturday: John Lackey, RHP (23.7%, 6.5%, 4.82, 3.80) vs Brandon McCarthy, RHP (21.2%, 6.7%, 3.76, 3.92), 6:15 PM CT
McCarthy is finally healthy and putting together the kind of season the Dodgers expected when they signed him two years ago. He's stingy with walks and gets ground balls. He was shelled by the Giants a week ago but has otherwise been boringly solid.
Sunday: Jon Lester, LHP (25.1%, 8.2%, 3.19, 3.14) vs Clayton Kershaw, LHP (27.0%, 3.0%, 2.01, 2.46), 3:10 PM CT
If Lester looks anything like he did in his last start, this should be an incredible game. Both pitchers are coming off games with nearly identical lines – 9 IP, 10 K, 0 BB, 1 R. I guess we have to give Kershaw the edge since he only gave up three hits to Lester's four.
Comments
Jansen might be a decent pitcher.
dmick89Quote Reply
I’m taking a wait and see approach.
Myles HandleyQuote Reply
Myles Handley,
Good idea. If his walk rate increases, he won’t be as good.
dmick89Quote Reply
Overrated. He only has one good pitch.
ceruleanQuote Reply
cerulean,
Yeah, and I’m betting that his FIP is going to be at least 100 times higher than it currently is by the end of the year.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
A hundred is unlikely, but twenty times seems reasonable.
ceruleanQuote Reply
No series prediction? Low hanging fruit?
AlBaloneyQuote Reply
cerulean,
Math was my best subject.
dmick89Quote Reply
Stop striking out.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Wake up, bats.
ceruleanQuote Reply
I said wake up, not pop up.
ceruleanQuote Reply
At least the Cubs are guaranteed to stay in first place even if they lose tonight.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Hopefully Jansen comes in the game soon so the Cubs can get something going.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Out.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
He’s out. Great play by Arrieta, regardless.
EDIT: They got it right: out.
ceruleanQuote Reply
What a play by Jake.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
That play would have been more fun on a slip-n-slide.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Not Pedro Baez. Anyone but that guy.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Is it raining in LA?
ceruleanQuote Reply
I like this quicker pitching version of the human rain delay.
EDIT: I liked it better when he wasn’t throwing strikes.
EDIT EDIT: That’s more like it.
ceruleanQuote Reply
(dying laughing) They didn’t tag him.
ceruleanQuote Reply
cerulean,
I think I’d rather have the NLCS version who gave up runs.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
Well, this inning started promisingly enough.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Speaking of the likes of Pedro Baez, this is an interesting take on the time between pitches.
ceruleanQuote Reply
😐
ceruleanQuote Reply
Sigh. I thought Jake was looking good today.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
The old guys going deep for LA.
ceruleanQuote Reply
Holy crap, Addy
Berselius is too lazy to loginQuote Reply
I am guessing that this was regarding that dive and throw from his back to start a DP. I dozed off by then.
So, belatedly:
RUSSELL!!!! What a play!
ceruleanQuote Reply
To-day’s base ball squadron
CF Jay
LF Schwarber
3B Bryant
1B Rizzo
2B Happ
RF Heyward
C Montero
SS Russell
P Lackey
berseliusQuote Reply
I like how Jeff Garlin can’t even pretend that Mets-Pirates is an interesting matchup.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Lindor already has 11 home runs. The amount of young talent at SS is crazy.
dmick89Quote Reply
Heyward has had so many near-misses.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Stop making bad throws, Cubs infielders.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
The Cubs apparently didn’t have room to bring their bats during this Anchorman theme road trip.
dmick89Quote Reply
I’m still upset about that walk to McCarthy.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Dodgers organist annoying af
Berselius is too lazy to loginQuote Reply
When was the last time the Cubs were shut out of a whole series?
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
May 26-28, 2017
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
Not optimistic about their chances against Kershaw?
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
I continue to be baffled how some people think highly of Smoltz’s commentary.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Smoltz: Here comes the breaking ball.
*pitcher throws a fastball*
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Joe is going to throw out a crazy lineup tomorrow
Berselius is too lazy to loginQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
This offense? No, I’m not optimistic they score against any pitcher.
dmick89Quote Reply
To-day’s base ball squadron
2b Baez
3b Bryant
1b Rizzo
LF Happ
RF Heyward
C Contreras
SS Russell
CF Almora
P Lester
berseliusQuote Reply
Zobrist is dealing with a sore wrist, first suffered on Friday.
berseliusQuote Reply
Wow. What an at-bat by Contreras.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Lester’s ball four was better than the pitch that was called a strike on Bryant.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Kill the umpire, please.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Welp.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
The Cubs should try hitting more three run homers. They’d probably score more.
dmick89Quote Reply
dmick89,
It’s so frustrating. They’ve had more traffic than the Dodgers and the same number of dingers. Ugh.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Make that more dingers.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Pinch-hitter, please.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
God damn it, Joe.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Of course Maddon waits for a low-leverage situation to go to the bench. And he pinch-hits for position players rather than the relief pitcher.
Rizzo the RatQuote Reply
Rizzo the Rat,
I wish Maddon had a clue when it comes to using a pinch hitter.
dmick89Quote Reply
http://obstructedview.net/series-preview-chicago-cubs-25-24-san-diego-padres-19-33/
berseliusQuote Reply