It’s Bill James week here at Obstructed View. We published the hitter’s projections a few days ago, our interview with Bill James and now the pitcher projections. I calculated the FIP. Pitcher W L G GS IP H HR BB SO ERA FIP Sean Marshall 5 4 78 0 75 71 6 21 65 3.24 3.43 Andrew Cashner 9 6 …
An Interview with Bill James
What the hell do you say about Bill James? No introduction is necessary, but not having one seems lame. It’s Bill James. Obstructed View: You’ve mentioned in recent years how talking with scouts in Boston has helped you see the game in a way you hadn’t explored before. Has this changed the way you view some of the conclusions you …
2012 Cubs Bill James Projections, Part 1
Over the years a lot of people have claimed that the Bill James projections are optimistic. In a straight player to player comparison it will often seem that way, but the league average of these projections is important to consider. For example, let’s consider a couple examples. Player A is projected to hit .330 wOBA, league average is .330 wOBAPlayer …
The Keltner List and Sammy Sosa
I was reading the most recent article on Nate Silver's Five Thirty Eight and he brought up the Keltner List. I had meant to do this for Sammy Sosa a few years, but completely forgot. So I'll do it now. Bill James came up with that back in 1985 and I'll let Wikipedia explain it: The Keltner list is a …
Bill James Expected RBI and Apologizing For Shit You Shouldn't Have to Apologize For
I bought Solid Fool’s Gold by Bill James this morning and I always like writing about some of the things he discusses. Not everything he writes has a lot of practical value, but I find much of it entertaining and this was one of them. James found a way to estimate a player’s RBI. It’s surprisingly simple. Total Bases (TB) …