The 2024 MLB Postseason

In Playoffs by Rice Cube131 Comments

The field and seedings are finalized now that the last teams standing did the split thing and bounced the Diamondbacks in an indirect act of revenge for the Cubs.

Make your picks. Or don’t. I can’t tell you what to do.

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  1. Author
    Rice Cube

    American League:

    Detroit over Houston
    KC over Baltimore

    Detroit over Cleveland
    Yankees over KC

    Yankees over Detroit

    National League:

    Mets over MIL
    Padres over Atlanta

    Phillies over Mets
    Padres over Dodgers

    Padres over Phillies

    World Series:

    Yankees over Padres

    If I’m being honest, I have no idea what will happen because every team is so close and also so flawed.

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  2. berselius

    “Granted, none of us are perfect, but it seems to me that Pete Rose is significantly farther from perfection than just about anybody you would want to know.” –Rob Neyer, nearly 30 years ago

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  3. berselius

    Oh, if we’re being more specific

    Astros over Tigers
    O’s over Royals

    Cleveland over Astros
    O’s over Yankees

    O’s over Cleveland

    Beers over Mets
    Dads over Barves

    Dodgers over Dads
    Beers over Phillies

    Beers over Dodgers

    O’s over Beers

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  4. berselius

    If it’s o’s Yankees in the ALDS, I’m not sure if the city of Baltimore is more likely to be standing if they win, or if they lose (dying laughing)

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  5. berselius

    Seeing some suggestions that now that Rose is dead, his lifetime ban has expired and he can get into the HOF. Which, ???????????????????

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  6. Perkins

    berselius:
    Seeing some suggestions that now that Rose is dead, his lifetime ban has expired and he can get into the HOF. Which, ???????????????????

    My understanding is that his ban doesn’t say anything about lifetime, but rather that he is on the Restricted List and considered permanently ineligible.

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  7. BVS

    An uninspiring slate of National League Playoff teams this year. I usually root NL, but it’ll be hard.
    Rather than make predictions, I’ll just list my rooting preferences.

    1. Tigers
    2. Indians
    .
    preference gap.
    .
    3. Brewers (eh, they win divisions a lot and stall. I don’t have much animosity there. They aren’t StL.)
    4. Royals/Padres (whatever)
    .
    .
    6. Phillies (to support ex-Cubs; they could be higher with different fans, (dying laughing))
    7. Orioles (they could be higher with different owners)
    .
    .
    .
    8. Braves
    9. Mets
    10. Dodgers (Ohtani vs Soto in the Series would be kind of cool, except the teams basically have them because they have unlimited budgets)
    11. Yankees
    12. Astros (you really have to work hard to fall below the Yankees in my rooting preferences, but they’ve done a great job getting there. They’ll have to fully turnover players, management, and ownership from their cheating days to climb back up. They’ve even fallen below the Cardinals, but not the New England Patriots.)

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  8. BVS

    Perkins,

    tough to find low rarity scores?

    I mentioned I’ve been playing to maximize rarity scores (without missing blocks). Yesterday I missed by only 5 points. That’s my best so far. I picked A-Rod over Bonds for 100r x MVP and lost 3 points. It’s hard to think like the herd sometimes. 🙂

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  9. BVS

    Rice Cube,

    I mean, if you asked Jordan Montgomery if he had a good year he’d certainly say no, right? Because he had a lousy year. The owner apparently pushed for his signing so it was the owner’s fault. I don’t think it’s a terrible comment, although he might have been better to say “performance” instead of “talent.” The Tigers owner could say that Javy Baez was a bad financial decision for the talent he’s shown on the field too, and he’d be right. Doesn’t mean they don’t have talent, but they didn’t perform last either.

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  10. berselius

    BVS: Orioles (they could be higher with different owners)

    The Angelos family is gone – or are you talking about the new folks.

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  11. Perkins

    I saw a stat on the Tigers game that in the postseason since 1990, teams entering the 9th down by 3 runs or more were 1-538. I’m pretty sure the Cubs were that 1.

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  12. Author
    Rice Cube

    Arb projections

    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2024/10/projected-arbitration-salaries-for-2025.html

    Cubs (14)

    Yency Almonte (5.143): $2.2MM
    Christian Bethancourt (5.023): $2.5MM
    Mike Tauchman (4.143): $2.9MM
    Julian Merryweather (4.109): $1.3MM
    Nick Madrigal (4.087): $1.9MM
    Patrick Wisdom (4.058): $3MM
    Adbert Alzolay (4.050): $2.3MM
    Trey Wingenter (4.049): $1.4MM
    Nate Pearson (4.005): $1.4MM
    Isaac Paredes (3.160): $6.9MM
    Justin Steele (3.143): $6.4MM
    Jimmy Herget (3.069): $900K
    Colten Brewer (3.063): $800K
    Keegan Thompson (3.006): $1MM

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  13. Author
    Rice Cube

    Hmmm, that seems big

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  14. berselius

    Rice Cube,

    The bullpen should look a lot better with Alzolay/Almonte/Merryweather back from injury, I say as a guy with no ability to include injury history in pitcher priors.

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  15. andcounting

    Re: Rose and the HOF

    Garbage human or not, none of the truly terrible stuff about him is why he’s not in the HOF. They’re just not. He’s out for betting on baseball. Personally, I think it hurts baseball more to have him banned than it hurts Rose or his legacy. I’d rather see him granted eligibility and let the voters decide if he belongs, because, as bad as the betting is or was, I don’t think anyone believes he ever failed to compete as a player or manager. The betting punishment has been more than served and baseball is obviously pro-gambling af. Release the pearls from your clutches, Manfred.

    THEN let the writers shit on his personal legacy and vote accordingly. If he doesn’t make it, cool. That’s my take.

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  16. Perkins

    I’m sure I’ll feel differently when the Cubs are good enough to make the postseason again, but I’m loving these Wild Card series for several days with four games of postseason baseball.

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  17. Perkins

    berselius:
    Meanwhile on my other monitor, Jake Arrieta pitching game 6 of the 2016 world series

    I actually have a pair of cufflinks made of game-used baseballs from his World Series game 2 start. I might wear them next week during my first week at the new job.

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  18. Perkins

    I’d be happy to see any of the Tigers, Yankees, Padres, or Phillies win the World Series. Also super happy the Astros got swept out of the first round.

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  19. berselius

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  20. berselius

    berselius:
    Oh, if we’re being more specific

    Astros over Tigers
    O’s over Royals

    Cleveland over Astros
    O’s over Yankees

    O’s over Cleveland

    Beers over Mets
    Dads over Barves

    Dodgers over Dads
    Beers over Phillies

    Beers over Dodgers

    O’s over Beers

    You’d make good money betting against me (dying laughing)

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  21. berselius

    Rice Cube,

    Yeah it’s a local billionaire who’s a longtime fan. Also a big private equity guy whose company was neck deep in various GWB era shadiness, but we’re grading on the billionaire curve here (dying laughing). The fact that he’s admitted that he enjoys baseball probably puts him in the top third of owners.

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  22. berselius

    Ah yes, like clockwork it’s the time of year where I try not to argue with nfl fans if a sample size of 13 plays is enough to declare that a player is bad.

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  23. Author
    Rice Cube

    Perkins,

    What they probably should do is the win-one (high seed)/win-two (low seed) doubleheader to give the higher seed at least some advantage since they bat last anyway. That would reduce the wild card round and tire out whoever comes out, and reduce the amount of down time for the bye teams.

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  24. andcounting

    Rice Cube,

    I don’t much like the idea of intentionally fatiguing the players to that extent. I’m surprised from a business/ratings perspective they don’t take advantage of the Friday sports vacuum and have series commence a day earlier, but sure, start against college and pro football for the first three days of the DS.

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  25. Perkins

    I enjoy the WC series for sheer volume of playoff baseball, but I actually think the 2012-21 format was about the perfect blend of drama and fairness. At least in years that the three best teams in a league didn’t all come from the same division.

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