Cubs trade Chris Coghlan for Aaron Brooks, RE-SIGN DEXTER FOWLER

In Uncategorized by myles129 Comments

The Cubs' 4th OF battle has just become wide open. The Cubs dealth Chris Coghlan to the Oakland Athletics for AAA/MLB SP/RP Aaron Brooks.

…..

By god, it's Dexter Fowler's music!!!

Those first two sentences were as far as I got before I read the news that the Cubs re-signed Dexter Fowler. One year with a mutual option. This is like pro wrestling.

The Cubs' 4th OF battle has just come to a close.

More on this later. My short thoughts are that this is a great move. Soler is now the 4th OF (who should play a ton if he stays with the team), the Cubs have the best lineup in baseball (if they didn't already), and that Aaron Brooks is actually an intriguing back of the rotation combatant. 

 

I love this fucking team.

 

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  1. Author
    myles

    Gordita says $8 MM in ’16, $9 MM in ’17 mutual option with $5 MM buyout. Fucking (dying laughing), that’s a GREAT deal for Dexter Fowler. Probably the signing of the offseason, and that’s saying something.

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  2. Smokestack Lightning

    Millertime:
    So…I guess Baltimore didn’t work out?

    Wittenmyer sez the Baltimore deal was never official. Cubs and Dexter kept talking throughout the process.

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  3. dmick89

    myles,

    That draft pick a team would have lost really screwed him and it probably shouldn’t have. He probably should have tried to sign earlier in the offseason. Or just accepted the arbitration. Weird.

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  4. Smokestack Lightning

    Given how this team suddenly does all the things, can’t help but wonder if a Soler deal is about to happen too.

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  5. Author
    myles

    Fowler CF
    Heyward RF
    Bryant 3B
    Rizzo 1B
    Schwarber LF
    Russell SS
    Montero C
    Catcher(, I mean pitcher)
    Zobrist 2B

    Good fucking luck, MLB. (Russell is 6th for developmental and handedness reasons. 2 switch hitters after the pitcher make it impossible to match up with us reliever-wise, too.

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  6. dmick89

    Smokestack Lightning,

    I’d think there’s a good possibility one is being worked on. Soler as a 4th outfielder is kind of a waste. He has more trade value than that and I don’t think we’ll see a 4th outfielder play as much as you do with this setup and unless there’s a platoon in LF at some point. I think Szczur and/or Baez will get a lot of playing time in LF as the defensive replacement or platoon partner (Baez), but I’m hoping for 150 games for each of the outfielders.

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  7. dmick89

    myles: Fowler CF
    Heyward RF
    Bryant 3B
    Rizzo 1B
    Schwarber LF
    Russell SS
    Montero C
    Catcher
    Zobrist 2B

    It helps that they get to have the catcher bat twice. That’s a real advantage that we haven’t talked a lot about.

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  8. Author
    myles

    Dexter Fowler hit .250/.346/.411 last year in centerfield. He was worth 3.2 fWAR. As a free agent, he is getting at most $2 million less than the QO (AAV-wise), and at worst $8.5 MM per year.

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  9. dmick89

    I had the Cubs at about 93 wins so I’ll happily predict 95 wins for this team and not be the least bit surprised if they surpass that. I also think they’re at least 10 games better than the next best team in the NL Central. I think the Pirates and Cardinals are better than average, but not by a whole lot.

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  10. Author
    myles

    I hope they keep Soler. However, if they don’t, and they spin him for a good, young, pitcher, you have to start wondering if this is the best Cubs team we’ll ever see in our lifetime.

    Oh wait, EVERYONE ON THIS TEAM IS SIGNED THROUGH 2017.

    Next year, our biggest FA is either Fowler (if we both decline) or Travis Wood.

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  11. Smokestack Lightning

    myles,

    I dunno. I think 2019 with Bryce Harper and unfrozen zombie Ted Williams (yes, I’ve seen the latest Cubs recruitment lineup) should be a pretty good team too.

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  12. JonKneeV

    Think about this, it would take probably 4 major injuries to Fowler/Heyward/Schwarber/Bryant/Rizzo/Zobrist/Soler for the Cubs to have a below average offense.

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  13. dmick89

    If you can get more value for Soler than you’d get from him as a 4th outfielder, you’ve got to make the deal. I think it’s wishful thinking that Schwarber is going to wind up behind the plate full time at any point in his career. If a young and healthy Schwarber can’t prove to be a better defensive catcher than Montero (who isn’t bad), then I’m just not seeing it. Not to mention, the hope is that Contreras will be up full time in 2017. The hope is that one of almora or McKinney will be up then too. There’s a reasonable possibility that Soler could become the 5th outfielder or worse as early as the middle part of the 2016 season. That’s a fantastic problem to have, but one that should probably be dealt with sooner than later in my opinion.

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  14. berselius

    I went to lunch just after the Coghlan trade, got back and saw Brett’s tweet that BN was blowing up and was surprised that so many people had Coghlan feelings (dying laughing)

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  15. Suburban kid

    I already traded Fowler from my video game franchise, been playing AJax there because I always thought that was more realistic (dying laughing) (dying laughing) (dying laughing)

    ^^^^just realized the macro works again

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  16. Smokestack Lightning

    berselius:
    I went to lunch just after the Coghlan trade, got back and saw Brett’s tweet that BN was blowing up and was surprised that so many people had Coghlan feelings (dying laughing)

    Well, I hope you enjoyed it. Because your inattention just got you no dinner.

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  17. dmick89

    Suburban kid,

    He’s got special powers. There are only certain html tags that users can use in the comments. The image tag is one I have to add manually after WP updates. I could add others that would make all those look pretty, but that specific tag isn’t the safest tag to allow everyone to use because it can be used maliciously.

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  18. berselius

    Suburban kid,

    I click on the “…” at the bottom of a tweet, there’s an option that gives you embed html that you can copy and past. Though as dm says you might not be discredited enough to use them round these parts.

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  19. dmick89

    Maddon liked to stack all those lefties at the top of the order at times. I’m kind of liking how this might play: Fowler, Heyward, Rizzo, Schwarber, Bryant, Montero, Russell, Catcher, Zobrist.

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  20. uncle dave

    That escalated quickly. I went from thinking that Coghlan would be a good fit in Oakland but maybe the Cubs didn’t get enough from him but oh well, at least we’ll probably sign Jackson to this:

    Not a bad morning. And happy birthday, Jorge, you just lost 300 PAs this year.

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  21. Myles

    You tell me what lineup is better:

    LF Murton
    CF Almora
    RF Soler
    1B La Stella
    2B Munenori Kawasaki
    SS Baez
    3B Christian Villanueva
    C Ross
    P Warren

    or

    LF Markakis
    CF Inciarte
    RF Bourn
    1B Freeman
    2B Jace Peterson
    SS Aybar
    3B Adonis Garcia
    C Tyler Flowers
    P Teheran

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  22. Myles

    So Baez is the main backup at 2B/3B/SS/CF now, and Soler is the main backup at LF/RF/1B?. Ross and Schwarber both catch 20 games this year. La Stella or Kawasaki is the other utility infielder, Szczur is the 5th OF.

    OF
    Fowler
    Schwarber
    Heyward
    Soler
    Szczur

    IF
    Bryant
    Russell
    Zobrist
    Rizzo
    Baez
    La Stella

    C
    Montero
    Ross

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  23. Wenningtons Gorilla Cock

    JonKneeV:
    Think about this, it would take probably 4 major injuries to Fowler/Heyward/Schwarber/Bryant/Rizzo/Zobrist/Soler for the Cubs to have a below average offense.

    “Unless, of course, my nine all-stars fall victim to nine separate
    misfortunes and are unable to play tomorrow. But that will never happen.
    Three misfortunes, that’s possible. Seven misfortunates, there’s an
    outside chance. But nine misfortunes? I’d like to see that!”

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  24. dmick89

    I can finally be as happy as I should have been when the Cubs signed Heyward. I was a little worried about him playing 150 games in CF. I’m sure he can handle it OK defensively, but I was worried about the increase chance of injury, as well as how shitty the outfield defense was going to be.

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  25. uncle dave

    dmick89,

    I’m not sure that Heyward won’t be able to handle center field, and would go so far as to say that I might prefer him to Fowler in parks with a lot of turf between the alleys due to his jump and range. In Wrigley, though, no question that the team is better with Heyward in right and Fowler in center. It opens up some interesting possibilities (not the least of which is having Fowler shade a step or two towards left to cover Schwarber).

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  26. dmick89

    uncle dave: It opens up some interesting possibilities (not the least of which is having Fowler shade a step or two towards left to cover Schwarber).

    Yeah, I’d assume we’ll see Fowler play more toward LF this season. If Baez is as good as the Cubs hope he is in the OF, the Cubs defense could actually be good with Baez, Fowler and Heyward in the OF. I like Schwarber’s bat a whole lot better and I didn’t think Schwarber was all that bad in the OF with the exception of the postseason.

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  27. dmick89

    EnricoPallazzo,

    No. I don’t think spring training performance is going to have anything to do with Schwarber’s role this year. I’d be very disappointed if it did. From what I’ve read today, I’m starting to think there’s a pretty good chance we’ll see a Soler/Schwarber platoon in LF and Baez will probably be the defensive replacement. I wouldn’t be surprised if Baez comes in at 2nd and Zobrist shifts to LF late in games replacing Soler/Schwarber.

    I’d rather not see a straight platoon in LF. Schwarber can probably hit lefties well enough if he’s given the chance, but more than anything, I want to see him given the opportunity to do it.

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  28. dmick89

    Suburban kid,

    I think that’s just reporters doing a poor job. I think a deal was close in that the two sides had mostly agreed to the framework of the deal, but the Cubs came in and got the actual deal done. The reporters heard deal is near and ran with it and now they’re blaming Fowler for being unprofessional about it (MLB Network was anyway). It’s not his fault the reporters did a poor job.

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  29. berselius

    dmick89,

    My reading of the tea leaves was that the reporters were running with the offer on the table, not anything that Fowler agreed to (especially wrt the option year)

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  30. uncle dave

    dmick89,

    I think that Schwarber’s defense will dramatically improve with reps as well. But when you have a guy who can cover ground like Heyward can in right, you have the luxury of giving him a bit more cover regardless.

    I don’t see a straight platoon in left. Schwarber will get 30-40 games between catcher and DH, and will probably sit against tougher lefties. That still leaves him with about 80-90 games in LF. Soler will probably pick up the other 70, as well as the 10 or so that Heyward doesn’t start, and I think he slots into RF with Heyward moving over for another 30-40 games. That’ll give Heyward 150 starts, with Schwarber, Fowler, and Soler slotting in at 110-130 each. Plenty o’ room for everyone.

    Unless I’m totally off or there are major injuries, I don’t think that we’ll see a ton of Baez or Zobrist in the outfield this year. Given how strong Baez is defensively in the infield, I’m ok with that, though that likely limits him to about 60-70 starts absent injuries.

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  31. berselius

    Myles:
    To the Victorino goes the Spoiled

    You have been banned from Obstructed View. You can browse but not participate. Please email me, dm, Al, and your sixth grade science teacher to confirm.

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  32. dmick89

    cerulean,

    How the fuck can a presidential candidate say shit like that and actually be the overwhelming favorite to land the nomination from one of the two major political parties in the US? It’s fucking baffling.

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  33. berselius

    dmick89,

    Did you see cwyers’s trump thing from the other day? Trump is batshit crazy but not too surprising that that constituency exists, though lots of overlap with plain ol’ racism and xenophobia.

    https://gist.github.com/colinwyers/5f2945488e4b864f8736

    Calcaterra posted a reply/continuation too from a lib perspective

    http://craigcalcaterra.tumblr.com/post/140002974422/donald-trump-the-overlooked-and-the-invisible

    I got super depressed when I realized that this baseball season will be over before this fucking election. At least the Cubs will be worth watching.

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  34. berselius

    Good thing my dinner privileges were already revoked, I’ve got nothing to lose for political links (dying laughing)

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  35. cerulean

    dmick89:
    cerulean,

    How the fuck can a presidential candidate say shit like that and actually be the overwhelming favorite to land the nomination from one of the two major political parties in the US? It’s fucking baffling.

    It’s anti-intellectualism all the way down. I used to say that at home I feel like a foreigner and as a foreigner I feel at home. I have some aspirations to expatriating myself. A Trump presidency may hasten such plans. Maybe a place with a different language just to escape politics for a little while.

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  36. dmick89

    Thanks for the links, guys. Great reading. That Colin Wyers article was really good. So were the others, but I’m always impressed with how good cwyers is. I miss reading his work.

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  37. dmick89

    cerulean: A Trump presidency may hasten such plans.

    It wouldn’t for me. I’m not too worried about 1) Trump winning the presidency or 2) Trump actually being able to do even a fraction of what he’s said. Besides, what has he actually said in detail? He’s been intentionally vague about most everything. Build a wall and make Mexico pay for it. That’s not going to happen. Basically gut the 1st Amendment. Not happening.

    I live in a city that is home to some of the most appalling people in this country (Westboro Baptist Church). Other than when I see them picketing, I like it here and have no intention of leaving any time soon. I disagree with much of the state and local governments have done (fucked over education for decades and they pretend as if mental health isn’t worthy of funding to name a couple). This shit has happened elsewhere and if I lived in another country I’d just be upset about something else.

    I thought the one thing I wouldn’t sacrifice is my privacy, but I gave that up after I learned for certain the government didn’t give two shits about it. They still don’t (FBI vs. Apple).

    Pretend baseball starts soon and that’s followed by real baseball. Hopefully by the time I care about anything else on tv the election will be all but over and the Trump News Networks can return to reporting on missing white kids. Thing about how many white kids will have gone missing since they stopped reporting on anything not related to Trump. Also, how many beautiful blond white girls will have been murdered? They’ve got years of coverage of white people to make up for.

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  38. cerulean

    dmick89,

    Every place has problems, to be sure. But so much of America’s problems stem from a lack both tolerance and perspective. Looking back through history, the demise of institutions seems to occur at points of over-optimization, local maximums that when reached have allowed us to see peaks that were previously beyond our vision, but remain out of reach because the trek is too difficult—everybody is comfortable enough here—it’s not perfect but it works. Until it doesn’t. We see this not just in history, but in prehistory, that adaptation to a particular environment and/or overuse of a strategy that has worked in the past leads to vulnerabilities—think large dinosaurs and antibiotics.

    Our strategy for “democracy” is showing its cracks. And even if issues could be voted on directly, the majority of the country seems to be content to let threats to national security erode our civil liberties, save for the impregnable fortress of gun ownership that was written into our constitution at a time when guns were part of the livelihood of many and could not easily do great damage. On the false dilemma between guns and encryption, I’d choose encryption every time. But that choice isn’t up for grabs, because guns are sacrosanct.

    Instead, we have the FBI justifying this sacrifice of privacy, compelling companies (or maybe just one company that makes the whole widget and mints cash due to its success around the world) to write malware to break the encryption that seems to be the only vector of attack against organized bad guys with weapons (and I mean beyond just guns here, which would be their argument). We are blinded by the highly improbable, feeding our fears, distracting our imaginations, rather than using our imaginations to break our fears.

    I have concerns about America transitioning from a super-imperalistic-republic to an also-ran like the great powers before them. I like to remain optimistic that the change would be relatively peaceful, but given the threat we are actually dealing with—technology obsoleting many jobs, feeding all of the wrong tendencies of government—the future could be dicey.

    For the record, I am sure that the probability of a violent transition is far less likely than not, but if it does happen the cost may be so great that the expected value of all the eventualities will be overwhelmingly negative. We live in interesting times.

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  39. dmick89

    cerulean: For the record, I am sure that the probability of a violent transition is far less likely than not

    It’s of course less likely than not in the short-term, but it will happen eventually. I’m just not convinced it’s better elsewhere. There’s a lot I don’t like here and there’s a lot I do like. I imagine the same would be true in other countries. I will say this, when I’ve seen others say they’re going to move to a different country in the past if so and so is elected, I’ve laughed. It’s not so funny to hear that if Trump is the one being elected. It becomes an understandable and perhaps even desirable decision. It’s not one I’d make even though I think Trump is basically a piece of shit.

    All of our circumstances are different. I would guess it’s beneficial for some (perhaps many, maybe none, I really have no clue) to move to a different country, but the benefits for myself and my family would be small to non-existent. At least in the short-term anyway and really, my existence is short-term so yeah, I’m staying put, but I understand the desire to get the fuck out.

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  40. Suburban kid

    It’s not like you can just move to another country anyway. Unless you have family ties or really good professional qualifications that can open doors for you job-wise. I suppose if you were independently wealthy you could convince a country to give you a green card and/or citizenship.

    I moved out of the US a long time ago but not because I didn’t want to live there. I’ve always kept in the back of my mind that someday I’d move back, maybe retire there, because I do miss it sometimes. Lately I don’t feel that way so much.

    DM is absolutely right that you would find shit you don’t like / hate about where you end up living, with no way of changing/avoiding it. Most things that fall into that category in your home country, you have already rationalized or made allowances for long ago. So you’ll need as much / more tolerance abroad as you had at home.

    What I observe from a distance that is different about the US is a certain innate entitlement about freedom that is drummed into us from birth. Don’t get me wrong, we should all be free. But the meaning of freedom seems to extend nowadays to not just mean freedom to speak or pray or make a living, but freedom to not give a shit about other people, freedom to be selective to where justice is served, freedom to buy and carry automated death machines without even a background check, and with the latest crop of presidential candidates (NOT just Trump, but almost all of them), the freedom to lie whenever you want and say “who cares?” when challenged, because this is America and if I wanna say something, I’ll say it. It’s my right to bullshit as much as I want and you have to accept it.

    I think in other countries they don’t use their political freedom to justify personal overreach, or selfishness, quite like the way it comes naturally in the US. Freedom came later in history, or at least true freedom across the social spectrum, than in the US so people are less convinced that they really have it. Lingering class and racial divisions maintain certain inequalities that we thought were eliminated a long time ago in the US (…or were they?).

    There’s racism and injustice in Europe and Canada and Australia and Japan too. Where I live, they sanctimoniously hang onto “pro-life” legislation that allows women to die in hospitals rather than abort their non-viable pregnancy, and they don’t have to deal with botched illegal abortions in alleys because women can outsource their abortions to the country next door. On the other hand, they seem to have a much more caring attitude to the homeless, the mentally ill, and the disadvantaged in general, which I admire. Prison isn’t an industry and offenders get a chance to rehabilitate themselves and return to society before they’re 80 years old. They had a woman president 25 years ago, despite the fact that only 50 years ago married women weren’t allowed to work.

    Ah, shit’s fucked up everywhere. I just hate that the joy and excitement of the Cubs’ World Series domination in October will quickly be soiled by the ugliest presidential campaign imaginable.

    I think Trump will get trounced in November, but he will be the nominee and we will have 10 more months of his (and his supporters’) utter bullshit.

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  41. dmick89

    Suburban kid,

    Good points. You’re probably right that Trump will get crushed in the general election if he’s the nominee. I expect a higher percentage of Republicans will vote Democrat than have in a long time. I think 538 has an article up today on that possibility, though it’s seemed probable for a long time now.

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  42. Millertime

    I think people are generally very passionate about their own freedom, and much less so about someone else’s. Same goes for spending, entitlement programs, and taxes. I think the thing that bothers me most about politics and government is how so many people don’t seem to care about the process, or about how the court system/justice/law should work, as long as they get what they want.

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  43. Mucker

    Regarding Trump, I think you guys are underestimating the American public. If there’s one thing I’ve learned the past decade, is that the majority of our fellow countrymen and women are bat shit fucking crazy and actually agree with everything Trump says. As much as people hate Trump, there is a huge amount of people that hate Clinton too. The sad thing is that it seems elections are no longer about politics and are more about popularity contests.

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  44. cerulean

    Suburban kid,

    Once upon a time, I was looking for a good place to lie down in the grass. It looked like a well-trimmed and lovely lawn from sidewalk, all soft and green. But no matter where I tread, the green gave way to a green-brown coarseness, with insects to bug me as soon as anything resembling comfort came about.

    The grass is greener where you don’t look hard enough.

    By the same token, no storm is as dark as it is when it’s approaching.

    As for leaving the country, I do have ties outside of the US since my wife and I both have recent European ancestry with the bonus that mine came via South America. Moving with children is the tough bit, though I do hear about negative birth rates in Europe and wonder when they will start enticing children of emigrants to come back home. Demographically, it’s getting pretty dire.

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  45. cerulean

    Mucker:
    Regarding Trump, I think you guys are underestimating the American public.If there’s one thing I’ve learned the past decade, is that the majority of our fellow countrymen and women are bat shit fucking crazy and actually agree with everything Trump says.As much as people hate Trump, there is a huge amount of people that hate Clinton too.The sad thing is that it seems elections are no longer about politics and are more about popularity contests.

    I used to think that most people think like me. And then I find a statistic that 1 in 5 women in college will be raped (along with an alarming number of men). This leads me to believe that a non-negligible amount of rapey dudes make up the population.

    I have a vivid imagination, and that statistic—even if off by a factor of 2 or 10—boggles the mind.

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  46. Millertime

    I just started rewatching The West Wing, and it’s funny how many issues on that show (gun violence, supreme court nominations) are still pretty much the exact same conversation then as they are now.

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  47. berselius

    Mucker: The sad thing is that it seems elections are no longer about politics and are more about popularity contests.

    Or in the case of about 80% of them, district-drawing contests.

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  48. Suburban kid

    Millertime: the thing that bothers me most about politics and government is how so many people don’t seem to care about the process, or about how the court system/justice/law should work, as long as they get what they want.

    And/or assume that the process/system can’t be changed.

    Why two years for a congressional term?

    Why is 12th grade free but 13th grade costs $30,000?

    Why can’t voter registration be done online?

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  49. berselius

    Suburban kid: Why can’t voter registration be done online?

    You can do it here in NM, or so I’m told. Even if our drivers’ licenses can’t be used to get on airplanes anymore (dying laughing).

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  50. Suburban kid

    cerulean,

    Yeah, I guess that’s why Merkel is happy to let so many refugees in. Someone has to pay for the social security of the aging workforce.

    Of course, other European countries are facing the same demographic challenge but are trying to keep them out. Hopefully, your parents are from one of those countries (dying laughing).

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  51. Suburban kid

    berselius,

    Ah, I was reading about the systems (or maybe it was on John Oliver) in S. Carolina and Wisconsin where they decided to make it harder rather than easier to register.

    I haven’t voted in a US election since 2000, but I registered for the Democrats Abroad primary which takes place this week. (The GOP doesn’t offer this option.) I think we get about the same number of delegates as Guam.

    I actually don’t think ex-pats should be allowed to vote, but they’re letting me, so I will.

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  52. Millertime

    Suburban kid,

    I think terms should be 2 years for the party I don’t vote for, but 4 years for the party I do vote for. Gerrymandering is wrong, vetoes are wrong, activisit judges are wrong, using “political stunts” to ram bills through congress is wrong, unless it’s something that I want, in which case it’s ok.

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  53. berselius

    Suburban kid,

    I was really surprised to see that NM was one of the online registration states in that John Oliver segment – we’ve had a pain in the ass time getting my wife a new drivers license here, since her social security card is buried somewhere in my stack of paperwork and hasn’t turned up (or got mixed in with the shred pile when I did my last big purge). Apparently an active US passport isn’t enough proof of your citizenship to get a DL here, though the main issue wrt to the licenses here is that they can give them to undocumented types. To get a new card, we have to drive 3 hours to ABQ and wait all day at the apparently notoriously understaffed office.

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  54. Millertime

    One of my biggest pet peeves is when people complain about their property taxes or local income taxes, and then also complain about how they want more police, more firefighters, more jail time for criminals(because we all know the reason crime exists is that we’re all too soft on crime), better roads, better snow removal, better public transit, more parks and rec programs, and better funding for the public school they send their kids.

    Also, anyone who uses phrases like “my tax dollars”.

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  55. berselius

    http://www.bostonglobe.com/sports/2016/02/27/criticism-analytics-shows-division-analysis/tNgGYvAwbAdPv1SaF6AddJ/story.html?event=event25

    f Andrew Friedman had gone with analytics over the advice of his top scout with the Rays, he would have wound up with failed prospect Chris Carpenter over Chris Archer. Friedman’s top scout at the time was Jeff McAvoy, who is now the Marlins scouting director. Friedman was going to make a deal with the Cubs, and analytics showed that Carpenter was a better prospect than Archer. McAvoy insisted that Archer would be the better choice in the long run. And so the Cubs traded Archer, Robinson Chirinos, Sam Fuld, Brandon Guyer, and Hak-Ju Lee to the Rays for Matt Garza, Fernando Perez, and Zac Rosscup prior to the 2011 season.

    ????????????????????????????????????

    (h/t to Brett)

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  56. EnricoPallazzo

    Mucker:
    Regarding Trump, I think you guys are underestimating the American public.If there’s one thing I’ve learned the past decade, is that the majority of our fellow countrymen and women are bat shit fucking crazy and actually agree with everything Trump says.As much as people hate Trump, there is a huge amount of people that hate Clinton too.The sad thing is that it seems elections are no longer about politics and are more about popularity contests.

    agree 100%. it is very dangerous to write off trump. there are a whole bunch of crazy ass motherfuckers out there. and i have lost count of how many times i’ve heard the phrase “well i’m no fan of trump, but if it’s him vs hillary, i’m definitely voting trump to keep that crazy bitch out of office.”

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  57. umbra

    berselius:
    Suburban kid,

    Wisconsin was great, you could show up with a utility bill with your name and address on election day and vote.

    So, they had a spring primary in WI a few weeks back because our state is stupid enough to have people vote on who the state supreme court justices should be (which leads to ridiculous miscarriages of justice because if you’re currently a county DA and want to be a judge someday, you basically have to lock people away for the rest of their lives or else face the attack ad of ‘will this justice let rapists out of jail after only 30 years?!?!?!?’). Anyway, this comment isn’t about that, it’s about the voter ID laws.

    The voter ID laws only recognize certain forms of ID as valid. Your student ID with picture and name does not work. Your veteran’s card does not work. Your driver’s license from Minnesota does not work. That’s nuts. You either get a passport, WI driver’s license, WI voter id card, or go screw yourself.

    When presented with the fact that this caused a lot of students from Minnesota and Illinois and a couple veterans to not be able to vote (even though they had registered, gone to the polls, had a non-approved ID, and gave a crap about a primary in February for the state supreme court), Republicans just said that that was a small price to pay for the voter fraud which was prevented.

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  58. berselius

    umbra,

    (dying laughing), that was exactly what I thought of when I saw some stuff floating around post-Scalia about making Supreme Court Justices electable or term-limited.

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  59. Suburban kid

    EnricoPallazzo,

    I guess I’m going off the the fact that to win the three primaries he’s won so far, Trump only had to get votes from like 1/8th of registered voters in those states — because it was just the Republican side, many November voters don’t bother with primaries, and there were several candidates splitting the votes.

    But each day he insults an entire religion or gender just seems to make him more popular, so who knows.

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  60. Mucker

    I also have this belief that potential Trump voters will show up to the voting booths in spades while Hilary or Bernie voters might be like “I need to vote………meh, it’s cold out”.

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